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Trump assumes presidency at 1700 GMT
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Markets looking for cues on immediate policy action
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Yen near one-month high on BOJ hike bets
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Crypto investors anticipate friendlier regulation
By Ankur Banerjee
SINGAPORE, Jan 20 (Reuters) - The dollar was hovering
near a more than two-year high at the start of a pivotal week on
Monday, as Donald Trump re-enters the White House with an
inauguration speech that will be of primary focus for investors
hoping to decipher his immediate policies.
The Japanese yen strengthened slightly on Monday,
clinging to a one-month high hit last week, as traders wager the
Bank of Japan will hike its policy interest rate this week.
Still, trading is likely to be thin with U.S. markets closed.
Investors are also keeping an eye on Middle East
developments after Hamas released three Israeli hostages and
Israel released 90 Palestinian prisoners on Sunday, the first
day of a ceasefire suspending a 15-month-old war.
Cryptocurrency investors remain in party mode awaiting
executive orders from Trump aimed at reducing regulatory
roadblocks and promoting widespread adoption of digital assets.
Trump courted crypto campaign cash promising to be a "crypto
president" and launched a digital token on Friday, which soared
above $70 at one point for a market value north of $15 billion.
It was last trading around $42, CoinMarketCap showed.
The spotlight is firmly on the policies Trump will enact on
his first day in office. At a rally a day before, Trump said he
would impose severe limits on immigration.
He vowed to repeal "every radical and foolish executive
order of the Biden administration" within hours of assuming the
presidency at noon ET (1700 GMT).
"The new administration indicated it is prepared to take
immediate actions, and there is little reason to doubt it," said
Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global
Forex in New York.
"In terms of tariffs, some countries have already signalled
that they are prepared to retaliate... There is talk that Trump
2.0 will hit the ground running with as many as 100 executive
orders planned on day one."
The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency
against six peers, was at 109.28 in early trade, near the 26
month high of 110.17 touched last week.
The index has risen 4% since the U.S. election in early
November as traders expect Trump's policies to boost growth but
be inflationary, requiring interest rates to stay higher for
longer.
Thierry Wizman, global foreign exchange and interest rates
strategist at Macquarie, said when it comes to tariffs, traders
are in a "wait-and-see" mode at best and, at worst, have been
largely unwilling to give disinflation in the U.S. the benefit
of the doubt.
"That means that any renewed mention of tariffs ... is
likely to send the USD higher, as well as (bond) yields."
Last week's slightly cooler core inflation data, dovish
comments from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller and
reports of tariffs being introduced gradually have led traders
to price in the prospect of two interest rate cuts this year.
Markets are now pricing in 42 basis points of easing in
2025. The shifting expectations weighed last week on the dollar
which clocked its first week of decline in seven.
The yen was last at 156.18 per dollar, not far from the
one-month high of 154.98 touched on Friday, with sources telling
Reuters the BOJ was likely to raise its policy interest rate
this week barring market shocks when Trump takes office.
Governor Kazuo Ueda and his deputy said last week the
central bank will debate whether to hike, signalling an
intention to take borrowing costs higher at a Jan. 23-24 policy
meeting unless Trump's inaugural speech upends markets.
The euro was 0.14% higher at $1.0285 in early
trade but still rooted near a two-year low touched last week,
while sterling rose 0.12% to $1.21825 as traders contended with
gloomy British economic outlook.