*
Euro rises to four-month high vs US dollar
*
Dollar index hit a near four-month low
*
China announces more fiscal stimulus to boost consumption
*
US economic numbers are mixed
*
Focus on ECB rate policy decision on Thursday
(Adds new comment, US data, updates milestones, prices)
By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss
NEW YORK, March 5 (Reuters) - The euro hit four month
highs on Wednesday against the U.S. dollar, as Europe's growth
prospects improved after Germany's proposed 500-billion euro
($531 billion) infrastructure fund, potentially offsetting
global trade tensions.
The single currency is up nearly 3.7% this week,
already on track for its best week since November 2022, taking
another leg higher after a late Tuesday announcement from the
parties hoping to form Germany's next government of the planned
new fund and an overhaul of borrowing rules.
It rose to its highest since November 8 against the dollar
was last up 1.3% at $1.0765. The euro also gained against other
currencies, including the British pound, the Japanese yen and
the Swiss franc, .
"By launching a 500-billion euro investment fund and working
to reform the country's overly-restrictive debt brake, German
leaders are taking steps that could reinvigorate growth at the
core of the euro project, help reverse a long decline in
underlying economic infrastructure, and establish a strong
bulwark against Russia's westward expansion" said Karl
Schamotta, chief market strategist, at Corpay in Toronto.
"Traders are reacting with unbridled optimism, bidding
the euro up against all of its major counterparts."
The dollar index, the reverse proxy for the euro being the
largest component of the index, fell more than 1% at 104.45
and hit its lowest since November 8 as well.
Lee Hardman, senior currency analyst at MUFG, cautioned
however about the downside risks for the euro from U.S.
President Donald Trump's tariff threats, saying early April will
be a key "crunch point" for Europe's economy.
Germany's bond yields surged as investors digested the
additional borrowing expected to back the debt overhaul, with
30-year yields jumping as much as 25 basis points at
one point. Short term yields also rose, boosting the euro
against the dollar.
Also in the mix, the ECB is expected to cut interest rates
on Thursday, with more to follow as it tries to prop up weak
economic growth. If fiscal stimulus by Europe's biggest economy
supports growth, it would reduce pressure on the ECB to cut
rates more aggressively and is a "positive shock" for the euro,
Hardman added.
Other European currencies also rallied against the dollar,
with sterling rallying to a four-month peak of $1.2871
and last traded up 0.5% at $1.2862. Against the Swiss franc, the
dollar was slightly higher on the day at 0.8899 franc.
Sweden's crown, sensitive to European equities, particularly
defense stocks, continued its recent rally, and was at its
strongest on the dollar in five months. The dollar was last down
1.4% at 10.267 crowns, and the euro was 0.3% lower at
11.03 crowns.
TARIFFS
It was not just European developments that were boosting the
euro, pound and franc against the dollar, however, as signs of
slowing economic growth in the United States, partly as a result
of uncertainty about tariffs, hurt the U.S. currency.
The dollar fell 0.7% against the yen to 148.74
On Tuesday, Trump vowed again reciprocal tariffs from April
in his first speech to Congress since taking office.
His 25% tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada took
effect on Tuesday, along with a doubling of duties on Chinese
goods to 20%, and Canada and China quickly acted in kind, while
Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum vowed retaliation but did
not provide details.
Currency traders are still struggling to assess whether the
tariffs will be permanent or if they are negotiable. The
Canadian dollar steadied to C$1.4394 to the dollar,
well off the C$1.479 to which it weakened a month ago when
tariffs were first mooted.
U.S. economic data on Wednesday was mixed, with private
payrolls slowing sharply last month, while the service sector
expanding as price growth accelerated.
Private payrolls
increased by only 77,000 jobs
last month after an upwardly revised 186,000 gain in
January. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast private
employment rising 140,000 following a previously reported
183,000 advance in January.
U.S. services sector growth, meanwhile,
unexpectedly picked up
in February and prices for inputs increased. The Institute
for Supply Management's (ISM) non-manufacturing purchasing
managers index (PMI) climbed to 53.5 last month from 52.8 in
January. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the services
PMI dipping to 52.6.
In Asia, China pledged more fiscal stimulus on Wednesday,
signalling greater efforts to boost consumption to protect
economic growth amid heightened trade tensions with the United
States. Policymakers set this year's GDP growth goal at roughly
5%, as expected.
The offshore yuan edged up 0.2% to 7.2639 per
dollar.
The China-sensitive Aussie, traded 0.6% higher at
US$0.6307, also boosted by upbeat domestic data.