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Euro steadies as all eyes on ECB policy meeting
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The single currency gains 4% this week
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U.S. dollar index hovers at 4-month lows
(Updates for midday European trading)
By Yadarisa Shabong
March 6 (Reuters) - The euro steadied after hitting a
four-month high against the dollar on Thursday as traders brace
for the European Central Bank's rate decision and outlook
against the backdrop of rising yields after Germany's historic
debt overhaul.
The euro was little changed after earlier scaling
to $1.0822 for the first time since November 7.
The shared currency has gained 4% so far this week, set for
its biggest weekly jump since March 2020.
A quarter-point rate cut is widely expected from the ECB's
policy decision later in the day. But the focus will be on the
scope and pace of easing beyond that, and ECB President
Christine Lagarde's comments about the sharp rally in government
debt yields.
"German yields have rallied, but so have French yields and
Italian yields and France and Italy have their sustainability
issues," said Nick Rees, head of macro research at Monex Europe.
"Now at some point, that story comes back to the fore and
markets start to worry about euro zone fragmentation and that
really puts a cap on the level to which euro/dollar can rise."
What Lagarde says about the ECB's "willingness to step in
and intervene if this becomes a risk of blowing something up"
will be crucial, Rees said.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback against six
peers, is on a four-day losing streak and wallowed at its lowest
since November 6, when U.S. President Donald Trump won the
election, as worries of a U.S. slowdown lingered amid trade
tensions.
"It is hard to step into the bullish EUR momentum and call
for a pause to the rally," Barclays analysts said in a note.
"It is clear that in the case of a deepening US slowdown,
ongoing good news from Europe and noisy US tariff policy could
add fuel to the fire," they added.
Trump's administration, which has slapped tariffs on Canada,
Mexico and China, gave a one-month reprieve on auto import
levies to its nearest neighbours, again showing how rapidly the
trade landscape can shift.
The U.S. currency rose 0.15% to C$1.4366 and was up
0.3% at 20.47 Mexican pesos.
"U.S. trade policy remains the biggest uncertainty for the
markets," said Kyle Rodda, senior financial markets analyst at
Capital.com.
WORRIES OVER U.S. GROWTH
Rees said that the market is too worried about U.S. growth,
when the "hard data" is not even out yet. U.S. nonfarm payrolls
data is due to be released on Friday.
Barclays analysts said should U.S. data stabilise, "the bulk
of the EUR rally" may be over.
The dollar fell 0.7% to 147.9 yen. Japan's largest
labour union group Rengo said on Thursday its member unions were
seeking an average wage hike of 6.09% for this year.
"We do not expect any upswing in wage agreement to be
substantially large enough to warrant an earlier rate hike by
the Bank of Japan," Goldman Sachs analysts said in a note.
The U.S. currency edged up 0.2% to 7.2345 yuan in the
official market, but that was after falling 0.7% over
the previous two sessions.
Beijing began its week-long annual parliamentary meeting of
the National People's Congress on Wednesday by signalling
greater efforts to boost consumption to help protect economic
growth at a time of heightened trade tensions with the United
States.
The Swedish Crown strengthened on the dollar and euro after
Sweden's headline inflation surged, signalling an end to rate
cut prospects in the near term.
The crown hit its highest since December 2022 at 10.994 per
euro.
The British pound weakened against the euro as traders
continued to pile on the common currency following Germany's
proposed fiscal stimulus.