financetom
World
financetom
/
World
/
FOREX-Euro tumbles as Macron calls snap French election
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
FOREX-Euro tumbles as Macron calls snap French election
Jun 10, 2024 7:52 AM

(Updated at 1015 EDT/1415 GMT)

By Karen Brettell and Alun John

NEW YORK/LONDON, June 10 (Reuters) - The euro fell

sharply on Monday after gains by the far right in European

Parliament elections on Sunday prompted French President

Emmanuel Macron to call a snap national election.

The uncertainty in France adds one more element to what will

be a busy week for markets with U.S. inflation data due on

Wednesday, the same day as a Federal Reserve policy meeting, and

a Bank of Japan meeting rounding off the week.

The euro dropped 0.6% on the dollar to $1.0735,

its lowest since May 9. It also fell 0.5% on sterling to a near

two-year low of 84.49 pence, and was last down 0.5%

on the Swiss franc at a seven-week low of 0.9632 francs.

The increase in support for right wing parties was

"generally what was expected, but the surprise element is that

Macron has reacted by calling a snap election, so that makes the

market more nervous," said Lee Hardman, senior currency analyst

at MUFG.

The U.S. dollar was also boosted after Friday's jobs report

showed that employers added more jobs than expected in May,

while wages also rose more than anticipated, leading traders to

pare back expectations that the U.S. central bank will cut rates

as soon as September.

"The market was clearly caught wrong footed," said Paula

Comings, head of foreign exchange sales at U.S. Bank in New

York.

Wednesday's consumer price index (CPI) for May will be the

next major data point to drive Fed expectations.

If inflation comes in softer, "the market's going to feel

some relief. I think the dollar could weaken, but probably not

out of its recent range," said Comings. "But on the other hand,

I think if inflation doesn't let up and the number comes in

high, the die is cast to the Fed."

In that scenario, "euro/dollar would continue to trade down

towards the lower end of the range" and it will "impact

(emerging market) currencies disproportionately," Comings said.

Fed officials have said that they want to see several months

of inflation falling back closer to their 2% annual target

before cutting rates.

Economists polled by Reuters expect headline consumer price

inflation to ease to 0.1%, from 0.3% last month, and core price

pressures to remain steady on the month at 0.3%.

Fed policymakers will update their economic and interest

rate projections when they conclude their two-day meeting on

Wednesday.

At the last such release in March, the median projection was

for three 25 basis point cuts this year and investors anticipate

the new forecast will show an expectation of fewer rate

reductions.

The dollar index was last up 0.26% at 105.33, the

highest since May 14.

The paring back of expectations for rate cuts has been

supporting the dollar for much of 2024, with the Japanese yen

the worst performer due to the large interest rate gap between

the U.S. and Japan.

The dollar was last up 0.15% on the Japanese currency at

156.93 yen, having jumped 0.7% on Friday after the

payrolls print.

The Bank of Japan will hold its two-day monetary policy

meeting on Thursday and Friday, with the central bank widely

expected to maintain short-term interest rates in a 0-0.1%

range.

Reuters reported last week that BOJ policymakers are

brainstorming ways to slow its bond buying and may offer fresh

guidance.

In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin gained 0.06% to $69,319.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Futures edge higher as rate-cut bets tick up; key data awaited
Futures edge higher as rate-cut bets tick up; key data awaited
Jun 5, 2024
(Reuters) -U.S. stock index futures rose marginally on Wednesday as investors strengthened bets on an earlier start to the Federal Reserve's rate cuts this year than previously expected, after a slew of economic data pointed to slowing economic growth. Wall Street ended Tuesday's session slightly higher, paring some losses, with rate-sensitive real estate stocks leading sector gains. That came on...
Central Bank Rate Outlook Lifts European Bourses Midday
Central Bank Rate Outlook Lifts European Bourses Midday
Jun 5, 2024
07:38 AM EDT, 06/05/2024 (MT Newswires) -- European bourses tracked moderately higher midday Wednesday as traders awaited the Thursday rate decision from the European Central Bank. Tech and retail stocks led broad market gains. Investors also eyed Wall Street futures signaling green, but largely lower closes overnight on Asian exchanges. Eurozone producer prices fell 5.7% on the year in April...
Futures edge higher as rate-cut bets tick up; key data awaited
Futures edge higher as rate-cut bets tick up; key data awaited
Jun 5, 2024
(Reuters) -U.S. stock index futures rose marginally on Wednesday as investors strengthened bets on an earlier start to the Federal Reserve's rate cuts this year than previously expected, after a slew of economic data pointed to slowing economic growth. Wall Street ended Tuesday's session slightly higher, paring some losses, with rate-sensitive real estate stocks leading sector gains. That came on...
Bank Of Canada Cuts Rates By 0.25% As Policy 'No Longer Needs To Be Restrictive': Canadian Stocks Rally, Loonie Drops
Bank Of Canada Cuts Rates By 0.25% As Policy 'No Longer Needs To Be Restrictive': Canadian Stocks Rally, Loonie Drops
Jun 5, 2024
The Bank of Canada announced on Wednesday a 25 basis point reduction in interest rates, marking the first cut since March 2020, as widely anticipated by market participants. Consequently, the benchmark overnight rate and the deposit rate have been lowered to 4.75%, while the Bank Rate is now at 5%. The decision to lower rates stems from evidence indicating that...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved