(Updated at 1015 EDT/1415 GMT)
By Karen Brettell and Alun John
NEW YORK/LONDON, June 10 (Reuters) - The euro fell
sharply on Monday after gains by the far right in European
Parliament elections on Sunday prompted French President
Emmanuel Macron to call a snap national election.
The uncertainty in France adds one more element to what will
be a busy week for markets with U.S. inflation data due on
Wednesday, the same day as a Federal Reserve policy meeting, and
a Bank of Japan meeting rounding off the week.
The euro dropped 0.6% on the dollar to $1.0735,
its lowest since May 9. It also fell 0.5% on sterling to a near
two-year low of 84.49 pence, and was last down 0.5%
on the Swiss franc at a seven-week low of 0.9632 francs.
The increase in support for right wing parties was
"generally what was expected, but the surprise element is that
Macron has reacted by calling a snap election, so that makes the
market more nervous," said Lee Hardman, senior currency analyst
at MUFG.
The U.S. dollar was also boosted after Friday's jobs report
showed that employers added more jobs than expected in May,
while wages also rose more than anticipated, leading traders to
pare back expectations that the U.S. central bank will cut rates
as soon as September.
"The market was clearly caught wrong footed," said Paula
Comings, head of foreign exchange sales at U.S. Bank in New
York.
Wednesday's consumer price index (CPI) for May will be the
next major data point to drive Fed expectations.
If inflation comes in softer, "the market's going to feel
some relief. I think the dollar could weaken, but probably not
out of its recent range," said Comings. "But on the other hand,
I think if inflation doesn't let up and the number comes in
high, the die is cast to the Fed."
In that scenario, "euro/dollar would continue to trade down
towards the lower end of the range" and it will "impact
(emerging market) currencies disproportionately," Comings said.
Fed officials have said that they want to see several months
of inflation falling back closer to their 2% annual target
before cutting rates.
Economists polled by Reuters expect headline consumer price
inflation to ease to 0.1%, from 0.3% last month, and core price
pressures to remain steady on the month at 0.3%.
Fed policymakers will update their economic and interest
rate projections when they conclude their two-day meeting on
Wednesday.
At the last such release in March, the median projection was
for three 25 basis point cuts this year and investors anticipate
the new forecast will show an expectation of fewer rate
reductions.
The dollar index was last up 0.26% at 105.33, the
highest since May 14.
The paring back of expectations for rate cuts has been
supporting the dollar for much of 2024, with the Japanese yen
the worst performer due to the large interest rate gap between
the U.S. and Japan.
The dollar was last up 0.15% on the Japanese currency at
156.93 yen, having jumped 0.7% on Friday after the
payrolls print.
The Bank of Japan will hold its two-day monetary policy
meeting on Thursday and Friday, with the central bank widely
expected to maintain short-term interest rates in a 0-0.1%
range.
Reuters reported last week that BOJ policymakers are
brainstorming ways to slow its bond buying and may offer fresh
guidance.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin gained 0.06% to $69,319.