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Dollar/yen hits 156
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Bank of Japan leaves short-term rates near zero
(Updates prices)
By Tom Westbrook
SINGAPORE, April 26 (Reuters) - The yen hit its weakest
level in three decades against the U.S. dollar after the Bank of
Japan left interest rates on hold on Friday, leaving traders on
edge about the risk of official intervention.
The yen was 0.3% weaker at 156.1 per dollar
shortly after the BOJ's announcement, its weakest since 1990.
The yen also nudged down to its weakest almost 16 years at
167.38 per euro and its weakest in nearly a decade on
the Australian dollar.
The Bank of Japan left its short-term interest rate
target at 0-0.1% and made only small upward adjustments in its
inflation forecast. Markets had not expected a policy shift but
investors interpreted the decision as conservative as it did not
offer a projection of Japan's path to policy normalisation.
"The currency takeaway is certainly disappointment from
the lack of guidance coming from the Bank," said National
Australia Bank strategist Rodrigo Catril.
"To me the ... market is telling us it believes that the
BOJ policy is too loose and hence why the currency is so weak,"
he said.
"The Bank has the ability to do something about that by
changing its policy, and if it's not going to change the policy,
then we shouldn't expect the yen to strengthen."
The focus now falls on Governor Kazuo Ueda's tone and
outlook at his news conference at 3:30 p.m. in Tokyo (0630 GMT)
and whether the yen's weakness prompts an official response.
"If dollar/yen keeps going up, (intervention) wouldn't
surprise ... given you've had a lot of yen weakness and a lot of
very public pushback from Japanese officials," said Joe Capurso,
head of international economics at the Commonwealth Bank of
Australia.
"The market's not really taken it seriously, so at some
point they'll draw a line in the sand and say enough is enough."
The yen's 9.7% drop against the dollar this year is the
largest fall of any G10 currency, driven mostly by the wide gap
between U.S. and Japanese government bond yields, which is more
than 375 basis points at the 10-year tenor.
The yen has slipped past levels at 152 and 155 to the dollar
where traders had been wary of intervention. Japanese Finance
Minister Shunichi Suzuki said on Friday he was closely watching
currency moves and prepared to take full steps in response.
Elsewhere the dollar had dipped on softer-than-expected U.S.
growth data, even as Treasury yields rose on a
hotter-than-expected inflation indicator.
The euro rose 0.3% on Thursday to a two-week high
of $1.0728 following data showing the U.S. had grown at its
slowest pace in nearly two years in the first quarter. The
annualised rate of 1.6% missed economist forecasts for 2.4%.
The Australian dollar, which has been boosted by a
hotter-than-expected inflation reading this week, briefly topped
its 200-day moving average to hit $0.6539, before settling
around $0.6522 in Asia trade on Friday.
Sterling rose 0.4% on Thursday and was last at
$1.2503. The New Zealand dollar was a touch firmer in
Asia morning trade at $0.5960 and has gained in the previous
four sessions.