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Dollar/yen hits 156.8
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Bank of Japan leaves short-term rates near zero
(Updates prices and headline at 0830 GMT)
By Tom Westbrook and Joice Alves
SINGAPORE/LONDON, April 26 (Reuters) - The yen rose
sharply after hitting its weakest level in three decades against
the U.S. dollar with markets on edge about possible intervention
after the Bank of Japan kept interest rates on hold on Friday.
In a volatile trading day, the yen rose suddenly
to 154.97, after hitting minutes earlier its lowest level of
156.82 per dollar since 1990.
The sudden jump left traders on high alert for signs of
intervention.
After a two-day meeting, the Bank of Japan left its
short-term interest rate target at 0-0.1% on Friday and made
small upward adjustments in its inflation forecast. Investors
had not expected a policy shift but took the decision as
confirmation that only small moves lie ahead.
BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said the weak yen so far has not had
a big impact on the inflation trend.
The yen also slid to its weakest level in almost 16
years against the euro, at 168.23, and its softest in
nearly a decade versus the Australian dollar.
"There is little indication the BOJ is considering raising
rates in the near term," said Prashant Newnaha, senior
Asia-Pacific rates strategist at TD Securities in Singapore.
"Today's ... meeting greenlights the yen carry trade and
could see USD/JPY accelerate towards 160-161 over coming weeks."
INTERVENTION WATCH
The yen's 11% drop against the dollar this year is the
largest fall of any G10 currency, driven mostly by the wide gap
between U.S. and Japanese government bond yields, which is more
than 375 basis points for the 10-year tenor.
That encourages borrowing and short-selling yen in order to
earn better interest, or carry, in dollars and other currencies.
The gap could widen even further, and exacerbate pressure on
the yen, if the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure -
the U.S. core PCE price index - rises in data due at 1230 GMT.
"If dollar/yen keeps going up, (intervention) wouldn't
surprise ... given you've had a lot of yen weakness and a lot of
very public pushback from Japanese officials," said Joe Capurso,
a strategist at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia.
"The market's not really taken it seriously, so at some
point they'll draw a line in the sand and say enough is enough."
The yen has slipped past levels at 152 and 155 to the dollar
where traders had been wary of intervention. Japanese Finance
Minister Shunichi Suzuki said on Friday he was closely watching
currency moves and was prepared to take full steps in response.
Still, traders figure there is not much Tokyo can do to
reverse the currency's slide while interest rates and momentum
are heavily skewed against it.
Elsewhere, yen selling lifted the Australian and New Zealand
dollars, and the Aussie is set for its largest weekly
gain in five months after a surprisingly hot inflation print.
For the week it has gained 2% and it rose to a two-week high
on Friday, last up 0.5% to 0.6552. The New Zealand dollar
is up 1.3% this week to $0.5966, its biggest weekly
gain in almost two months.
Sterling and the euro were steady,
holding gains made on Thursday when data showed the U.S. had
grown at its slowest pace in nearly two years.