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Powell's comments reduce odds of December rate cut
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Dollar index rises, euro and yen weaken against greenback
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Sterling drops as BoE rate cut expectations increase
(Updated in New York afternoon time)
By Karen Brettell
NEW YORK, Oct 29 (Reuters) - The dollar gained on
Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell pushed back
against market pricing for another rate cut at the U.S. central
bank's December meeting, after the U.S. central bank lowered
rates as expected.
Wednesday's rate cut drew dissents from two policymakers,
with Governor Stephen Miran again calling for a deeper reduction
in borrowing costs and Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid
favoring no cut at all given ongoing inflation.
"The dissent from Schmid is hawkish, that captures the
sentiment from a few Fed officials so there could be some
pressure on Powell to hold back market pricing for a December
cut," said Adam Button, chief currency analyst at investingLive
in Toronto.
Powell said that U.S. central bank officials are struggling
to reach a consensus about what lies ahead for monetary policy
and that financial markets
should not assume
another interest rate cut will happen at the end of the
year.
Odds of a cut at the Fed's December meeting are now at 62%,
down from around 85% earlier on Wednesday.
The U.S. central bank further announced that it will
restart limited purchases of Treasury securities after money
markets showed signs that liquidity was
becoming scarce
, a condition the U.S. central bank has pledged to avoid.
Traders are also focused on trade talks between the U.S.
and China, with U.S. President Donald Trump due to meet China's
leader Xi Jinping on Thursday.
The dollar index was last up 0.63% on the day at 99.28,
with the euro down 0.56% at $1.1585.
Both the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan are
expected to hold rates steady on Thursday.
The Japanese yen weakened 0.56% against the greenback to
152.86 per dollar. It had strengthened earlier after U.S.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent urged Japan's government to
give the central bank scope to raise interest rates, escalating
his warning to Tokyo against keeping the yen too weak through
prolonged low borrowing costs.
Bessent, who was in Japan with Trump for talks with the
newly-formed government of Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, has
repeatedly criticised the BOJ for its slow pace of rate hikes.
STERLING AND AUSSIE
Britain's pound was among the biggest losers as traders also
adjusted for rising odds that the Bank of England will cut rates
next week.
"The Bank of England is squarely focused on inflation. But
in terms of their characterization of the outlook, one of the
pieces that they've been highlighting has been the labor
market," said Eric Theoret, FX strategist at Scotiabank in
Toronto.
"The data definitely looks to have softened. And so with
that lower inflation print I think it gives a bit more of a
green light for the Bank of England to ease," Theoret said.
Data last week showed that British inflation
unexpectedly held steady
in September. A report earlier this month also showed that
British workers' pay grew at the weakest pace since 2022 and the
jobless rate
nudged higher
.
Goldman Sachs ( GS ) said on Tuesday it expected the BoE to cut
rates next month, having previously seen no easing this year.
Sterling was last down 0.9% against the dollar at $1.3151
and reached $1.3137, its lowest since May 12.
The Canadian dollar was little changed on the day,
after earlier hitting a one-month high.
The Bank of Canada
reduced its key overnight interest rate
to 2.25% on Wednesday, as widely expected, and signaled
this could mark an end to its cutting cycle unless the outlook
for inflation and the economy changed.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin fell 1.37% to $111,295.