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FOREX-Reports of Israeli attack on Iran spark rush to Swiss franc and yen
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FOREX-Reports of Israeli attack on Iran spark rush to Swiss franc and yen
Apr 19, 2024 2:10 AM

(Updates at 0815 GMT)

By Harry Robertson and Rae Wee

LONDON/SINGAPORE, April 19 (Reuters) - Investors rushed

into the Swiss franc and Japanese yen - long seen as safe-haven

currencies - on Friday after reports said Israel had attacked

Iran in the latest tit-for-tat exchange between the two

adversaries, pushing up oil prices and causing caution across

global markets.

People familiar with the matter told Reuters that Israel

attacked Iran, days after Iran launched an unprecedented assault

on Israel in response to a suspected Israeli strike on its

consulate in Syria, although Iran played the incident down and

said it did not plan a new response.

Markets initially reacted sharply to the news, which sparked

a sell-off in risk assets, caused oil and gold prices to jump,

and ignited a rally in U.S. Treasuries and safe-haven

currencies.

The Swiss franc, valued at times of stress for its

stability, jumped more than 1% as the first reports came in to

hit 0.9011 per dollar, its highest in two weeks.

It then pared its gains, and was up around 0.5% at 0.9079 to

the dollar as markets retraced some of their initial reaction

after a relatively subdued response from Iran.

The U.S. dollar index, which tracks the currency

against six major peers, also rose but then gave up its gains to

stand 0.1% lower at 106.07.

Iranian state media said three drones over the central city

of Isfahan had been shot down and a senior Iranian official said

there were no plans for immediate retaliation. Israel's

leadership and military were silent early on Friday.

"My perception is the media in Iran have essentially

downplayed the whole thing," said Francesco Pesole, currency

strategist at ING. "(That) could be an indication they don't

want to escalate further."

He added: "It's speculating here because the news that we're

getting is not really clear... obviously the situation will

remain volatile."

ASIAN CURRENCIES UNDER PRESSURE

The yen was up roughly 0.2% at 154.39 per dollar,

after having rallied more than 0.6% in reaction to reports of

the attack.

"It's pretty obvious the market is nervous," said Moh Siong

Sim, a currency strategist at Bank of Singapore. "We're still in

a situation where we know something has happened. But we need to

understand the degree of retaliation."

Currencies bounced around throughout the European morning

session, with the euro initially falling but last up

0.1% at $1.06505. The British pound was flat at

$1.2441.

The broad theme of the last few weeks has been a surging

U.S. dollar on the back of a strong American economy. The euro

is down 1.3% this month, while sterling has fallen 1.5%.

Hot data, especially figures last week showing inflation

rose to 3.5% in March, has caused traders to rapidly downsize

their bets on Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year to

price in two reductions, most likely starting in September. That

has caused U.S. bond yields to spike, boosting the dollar index

to its highest since November earlier this week.

Asian currencies have come under particular pressure, and

finance chiefs in the United States, Japan and South Korea this

week issued a rare trilateral warning over the two Asian

nations' sliding exchange rates, raising the prospect of a

potential joint intervention.

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Thursday the

central bank may raise interest rates again if the yen's

declines significantly push up inflation, highlighting the

impact currency moves may have on the timing of the next policy

shift.

Ueda's comments come ahead of the BOJ's monetary policy

meeting next week. Data on Friday showed Japanese core inflation

slowed to 2.6% year-on-year in March, from 2.8%, although

remained above the central bank's 2% target.

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