(Updates prices at 0450 GMT)
By Rae Wee
SINGAPORE, April 19 (Reuters) - A wave of risk aversion
swept over markets on Friday and sent investors chasing after
traditional safety assets such as the Swiss franc and the yen
following reports that Israel attacked Iran in an escalation of
conflict in the Middle East.
Three people familiar with the matter told Reuters that
Israel attacked Iran, days after Iran launched a retaliatory
drone strike on Israel. Iranian state media reported early on
Friday that the country's forces had destroyed drones.
Markets initially reacted sharply to the news, which sparked
a huge selloff in risk assets, caused oil and gold prices to
surge, and ignited a rally in U.S. Treasuries and safe-haven
currencies.
Some of those moves were later retraced as few details
emerged about the attack and an Iranian official told Reuters no
missile attack took place.
Still, the Swiss franc, a traditional
safe-haven currency, remained 0.35% higher on the day at 0.9089
per dollar, having rallied 1% earlier in the session. Moves in
the Swissie were more pronounced against the euro, with the
common currency last 0.4% lower at 0.96685 francs, after sliding
as much as 1.5% earlier.
The yen rose roughly 0.2% to 154.38 per dollar,
after having rallied more than 0.6% in a knee-jerk reaction to
reports of the attack.
"It's pretty obvious the market is nervous," said Moh Siong
Sim, a currency strategist at Bank of Singapore.
"I think markets are at this stage in a flight-to-safety
mode ... Right now, we're still in a situation where we know
something has happened. But we need to understand the degree of
retaliation," Sim said.
The risk-sensitive Australian and New Zealand dollars,
meanwhile, tumbled to five-month lows.
The Aussie was last 0.3% lower at $0.64015, while
the kiwi eased 0.31% to $0.58825.
Also reflecting investors' skittishness, the highly-volatile
bitcoin tumbled more than 5% to briefly slip below the
$60,000 level. It was last roughly 1.8% lower at $62,381.
"I think what's happening in the Middle East is making that
upward inflection point with global inflation all the more
real," said Damien Boey, chief macro strategist at Barrenjoey.
Investors are also grappling with the prospect of
higher-for-longer interest rates in the United States, owing to
an economy that's still running hot.
A slew of resilient U.S. economic data that has repeatedly
surpassed expectations, alongside sticky inflationary pressures,
has left traders scaling back bets of the pace and scale of
Federal Reserve rate cuts this year.
Rate expectations continue to be the main driver of broad
market moves especially for currencies, with the latest shift in
the U.S. rate outlook sparking a towering rally in the dollar.
That's caused Asian currencies, in particular, to come under
immense pressure, and finance chiefs in the United States, Japan
and South Korea this week issued a rare trilateral warning over
the two Asian nations' sliding currencies, raising the risk of a
potential joint intervention.
The Korean won languished on the weaker side of
the psychologically key 1,400 level on Friday and last stood at
1,382.90 per dollar.
"Given the recent developments, the prospect of a joint
Asian FX intervention is definitely rising. I'm not sure about
whether or not the U.S. will be involved in that intervention,
because ultimately, a stronger U.S. dollar will just help the
FOMC's inflation fight," said Carol Kong, a currency strategist
at Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA).
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Thursday the
central bank may raise interest rates again if the yen's
declines significantly push up inflation, highlighting the
impact currency moves may have on the timing of the next policy
shift.
Ueda's comments come ahead of the BOJ's monetary policy
meeting next week.
Elsewhere, sterling fell 0.14% to $1.2420, leaving
it on track to lose 0.2% for the week. The euro eased
0.07% to $1.06355 and was set to clock a marginal weekly loss.
While expectations of a first Fed rate cut have been pushed
back to later this year, traders expect the European Central
Bank to begin its rate easing cycle in June, which will likely
keep the common currency weak for some time.
"Once the ECB starts cutting, it'll be apparent that global
central banks will face divergent monetary policy easing cycles,
and that will just exacerbate the strength in the dollar against
the euro and other major currencies," said CBA's Kong.
Futures now show just about 40 basis points (bps) worth of
cuts priced in for the Fed this year - a significant pullback
from the 160 bps of easing expected at the start of the year.
Fed policymakers have similarly pushed back against market
bets for rate cuts beginning as early as June, and Chair Jerome
Powell early this week said monetary policy needs to be
restrictive for longer.
Against a basket of currencies, the greenback rose
0.03% to 106.19, hovering near a more than five-month high of
106.51.