(Updated in New York morning time)
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Yen hurt by BOJ rate hike uncertainty, political changes
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Euro declines amid French political turmoil, economic
concerns
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Dollar index rises, traders eye US Fed rate cut
expectations
By Karen Brettell and Amanda Cooper
NEW YORK, Oct 10 (Reuters) - The yen stabilised on
Friday but was headed for its steepest weekly drop in a year as
the chances of a near-term rate hike faded, while the euro held
near two-month lows, hurt by the political crisis in France.
The Japanese currency has dropped on concerns that the Bank of
Japan may not hike interest rates again this year after fiscal
dove Sanae Takaichi's surprise victory to lead the ruling party,
stoking worries of Japanese authorities needing to step in to
support the yen.
Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato said on Friday that the
government was concerned about excessive volatility in the
foreign exchange market.
"Today was the first time that the Minister of Finance
expressed a verbal intervention, cautioning about excessive
moves in the yen," said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist
at Bannockburn Global Forex in New York.
Japanese officials last year expressed concern about a move
that weakened the currency by 10 yen in a month and Chandler
said a similar move today from the September 17 low would
indicate concern around the 155.5 yen level.
The yen was last up 0.29% against the greenback at
152.61 per dollar, still close to its weakest since mid-February
and heading for a 3.5% drop for the week, its biggest decline
since September 2024. It has weakened from 147.44 yen per dollar
last Friday.
Takaichi said on Thursday she did not want to trigger
excessive declines in the yen. She added that the BOJ is
responsible for setting monetary policy but that any decision it
makes must align with the government's goal.
She looked set to become prime minister in a parliament vote
that was expected on October 15. But the date will be likely
pushed back after the Liberal Democratic Party's junior
coalition partner Komeito pulled its support, breaking their
26-year-old alliance.
Traders are currently pricing an about 45% chance of a rate hike
from the BOJ in the December meeting and are only fully pricing
in a 25-basis-point hike in March.
FRENCH DRAMA DENTS EURO
The euro headed for its biggest weekly decline since
November at 1.5%, hurt by political turmoil in France, but held
steady on the day at $1.1565.
President Emmanuel Macron welcomed mainstream political
leaders to a crunch meeting at the Elysee ahead of a
self-imposed late-Friday deadline to name a new prime minister,
as the country's central bank chief warned political disorder
was sapping growth.
The political paralysis has made it challenging to pass a
belt-tightening budget and has made investors increasingly
worried about France's worsening deficit, on top of evidence of
slowing momentum in other key economic engines such as Germany.
"The data from Germany's not good, and therefore I think
that makes the euro a little bit more susceptible to wobbles on
the French news," said Rabobank chief strategist Jane Foley.
The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency
against six others, was near a two-month high and headed for a
weekly rise of 1.66%, its biggest in a year.
This week, "there's been a lot of technical damage done to
the foreign currencies," Chandler said.
Traders are watching for signs on when the U.S. federal
government will reopen and release data that will shape Federal
Reserve policy.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is bringing some
furloughed workers back in order to get the statistical agency's
benchmark report on inflation out despite the wider shutdown of
the federal government, the New York Times and Bloomberg
reported on Thursday.
Traders are pricing in a 95% chance that the Federal Reserve
cuts rates by 25 bps at its October meeting, while the odds of
an additional cut in December are at 82%, according to the CME
Group's FedWatch Tool.
The Canadian dollar jumped against the greenback after data on
Friday showed that Canada's economy posted a surprise 60,400 net
job gains in September.
The loonie was last up 0.22% versus the greenback to C$1.4
per dollar.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin gained 0.70% to
$122,024.