(Updated at 10:00 EDT (1400 GMT))
By Karen Brettell
NEW YORK, March 25 (Reuters) - The yen strengthened on
Monday after Japan's top currency diplomat warned against
speculators trying to weaken the currency, while China's yuan
gained on suspected selling of dollars by state-owned banks.
That helped to send the U.S. dollar lower against a basket
of currencies, after it reached a one-month high on Friday.
Masato Kanda, Japan's vice finance minister for
international affairs, said that weakness in the Japanese
currency did not reflect fundamentals, in the latest warning
about the currency's "big slide" against the dollar.
"He's clearly putting traders on alert for signs of
intervention," said Karl Schamotta, chief market strategist at
Corpay in Toronto.
The dollar was last down 0.11% on the day at 151.26 Japanese
yen, after hitting a four-month high of 151.86 on
Friday. It is within striking distance of a 32-year low of
151.94 per dollar hit in Oct. 2022.
Traders are watching the level around 152 for signs of
possible intervention, although Schamotta noted that the
government may not step in unless volatility also picks up.
"Implied volatility does continue to grind lower across most
major currencies so this is a supportive environment for the
carry trade - we should continue to see speculators borrow in
yen and other low yielders, and invest in the emerging market
high yielders," he said, adding "that could continue to put
downward pressure on the yen."
The Japanese currency has dropped despite the Bank of Japan
hiking interest rates out of negative territory last week.
China's yuan gained 0.37% in the offshore market
after dropping to a four-month low on Friday, propped up by
suspected selling of dollars by state-owned banks and a strong
official guidance set by the country's central bank.
The Chinese currency has been pressured by growing market
expectations of further monetary easing to prop up the world's
second-largest economy.
The dollar index was last down 0.23% at 104.19, after
hitting 104.49 on Friday, the highest since Feb. 16.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said last week that the
U.S. central bank remains on track for rate cuts this year,
despite stickier than expected inflation in January and
February.
Some Fed officials including Atlanta Fed President Raphael
Bostic, however, have expressed concern about persistent
inflation and stronger-than-anticipated economic data. Bostic
said on Friday that he now expects just a single quarter-point
interest rate cut this year instead of the two he had projected.
The personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index for
February due on Friday is the next major release for further
clues on Fed policy. The data will come as other markets
including stocks and bonds are closed for the Good Friday
holiday, which may reduce foreign exchange trading volumes.
The euro was last up 0.27% at $1.0835. Sterling
rose 0.36% to $1.2643.
Bets for a June rate cut by the European Central Bank
and the Bank of England (BoE) have
risen substantially after the Swiss National Bank became the
first major central bank to lower borrowing costs last week and
BoE Governor Andrew Bailey told the Financial Times that rate
cuts "were in play" this year.
Elsewhere, the Australian dollar rose 0.40% to
$0.6540.
Bitcoin climbed 6.9% to $67,923. It has fallen from a
record high of $73,803.25 on March 14.