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Japanese currency reverses earlier weakness, snaps six-day
losing streak
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Authorities in Tokyo reiterate warnings on yen volatility
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U.S. dollar faces busy week ahead of data releases
(Updates markets through Asia morning, recasts first paragraph,
new quote)
By Gregor Stuart Hunter
SINGAPORE, Feb 9 (Reuters) - The yen strengthened in
Asian trading on Monday after Japanese Prime Minister Sanae
Takaichi swept to victory in Sunday's election, abruptly
reversing a six-day string of losses as traders bet fiscal
stimulus will boost the stock market.
The yen overturned a 0.3% decline which saw the
currency reach its weakest level in two weeks to strengthen as
much as 0.7% before paring gains. It was last trading 0.3%
firmer at 156.76 yen against the dollar.
The yen also retraced losses against other currencies,
which earlier saw it reach its weakest level on record against
the Swiss franc and trade near the weakest point since
the creation of the euro.
"While the initial yen weakness may not have played out,
the outlook for the yen is still one which is likely to struggle
to strengthen," said Sim Moh Siong, currency strategist at Bank
of Singapore in Singapore.
"At least in the near term, there's also concern about
intervention risk, which may be capping the upside for
dollar-yen."
Japan's top currency diplomat Atsushi Mimura said
earlier on Monday that the government is "
closely watching currency movements with a high sense of
urgency
" after Takaichi's coalition swept to a historic election
win.
Takaichi is projected to deliver as many as 328 of the 465
seats in Parliament's lower house for her Liberal Democratic
Party. Alongside her coalition partner, the Japan Innovation
Party - known as Ishin - Takaichi now has a supermajority of
two-thirds of seats, allowing her to override the upper chamber,
which she does not control.
"The Liberal Democratic Party's landslide victory removes
political uncertainty and strengthens policy execution, but
shifts market focus squarely to how fiscal policy is designed
and communicated," said Shoki Omori, chief desk strategist for
rates and FX at Mizuho in Tokyo.
"Risks from fiscal expansion had already been largely priced
in before the election," he added. "The key question now is
whether those risks are reinforced or gradually unwind."
The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback's
strength against a basket of six currencies, was flat at 97.629,
at the start of a week that will see the release of several key
data releases out of Washington, including retail sales,
inflation and Wednesday's delayed jobs report.
Traders are increasing their bets on policy easing from the
Federal Reserve later this year. Fed funds futures are now
pricing an implied 19.9% probability of a 25-basis-point cut at
the U.S. central bank's next two-day meeting on March 18, up
from a 18.4% chance on Friday, according to the CME Group's
FedWatch tool.
The pound was last down 0.1% at $1.3599 as markets
considered developments in a political crisis swirling around
British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, whose chief of staff,
Morgan McSweeney, resigned on Sunday. McSweeney said he was
taking responsibility for advising Starmer to name Peter
Mandelson as ambassador to the U.S., despite his known links to
Jeffrey Epstein.
Against the Chinese yuan trading offshore in Hong Kong
, the U.S. dollar was last flat at 6.9317 yuan.
The Australian dollar was last up 0.1% at $0.7018,
while the New Zealand dollar nudged 0.1% higher to
$0.6013 and the euro was flat at $1.1818.
Bitcoin was last down 0.3% at $70,454.92, while ether
slumped 0.9% at $2,074.89.