Oct 11 (Reuters) - French bond yields edged higher on
Friday as investors assessed the government's 2025 budget to
tackle a spiralling fiscal deficit, while German bond yields hit
a fresh one-month high.
French Prime Minister Michel Barnier's new government, under
pressure from financial markets and France's European Union
partners to take action, outlined plans for 60 billion euros
($66 billion) worth of spending cuts and tax hikes on the
wealthy and on big companies.
"The main points were well telegraphed through the media
over the past weeks and should hence not take markets by
surprise," said Michel Nies, economist at Citi.
"Much of the adjustment burden falls on revenue
increases, which will not be easy to achieve in the magnitude
that's pencilled in."
France's 10-year bond yields, which move
inversely to prices, were up 3 basis points (bps) at 3.058%,
hitting a five-week high.
The spread between France's and Germany's 10-year
government bond yields stood at 77.5 bps, largely
unchanged from a day earlier.
That spread, a gauge of the higher returns investors
demand for holding French debt over the European benchmark, has
been in focus since it widened sharply in the run-up to France's
parliamentary election earlier in the year.
The government had previously said the budget bill would
reduce the public deficit to 5% of gross domestic product (GDP)
next year from 6.1% this year as a first step towards bringing
the shortfall into line with an EU limit of 3% in 2029.
Goldman Sachs economists wrote in a note that the scale
of the proposed consolidation and the corresponding reliance on
tax increases left them less confident about the government's
ability to meet its 2025 deficit target.
Fitch's review of France's rating due later on Friday
will be a focus of investors' attention, though markets see a
bigger risk of a downgrade when Moody's updates its stance on
Oct. 25.
All three major ratings agencies, which also include S&P
Global, currently have a stable outlook in place, but this might
become increasingly difficult to justify, Citi's Nies said.
Meanwhile, the euro zone benchmark German 10-year bond yield
gained 3 bps at 2.28%, after rising to 2.299%, its
highest since early September.
In the absence of major domestic economic catalysts,
signs of a strong U.S. economy and the prospect of U.S. rates
remaining higher for longer have recently been driving euro zone
yields, pushing them to multi-week highs.
U.S. Treasury
yields ticked lower early on Friday after a report showed
producer prices were flat in September.
The European Central Bank's Oct. 17 meeting is now
expected to take centre stage, with money markets almost fully
pricing in a 25 bps rate cut.
Germany's two-year bond yield, which is more
sensitive to ECB rate expectations, was up 3 bps at 2.26%.
Elsewhere, Italy's 10-year government bond yield
firmed 3 bps to 3.57%. The country's borrowing costs
were slightly up at an
auction
.