(Updates for European close)
By Alun John
LONDON, Oct 8 (Reuters) - French bonds outperformed
their euro zone peers on Wednesday on the possibility that the
country's parliament may agree a budget by the end of the year,
despite the ongoing political crisis.
The mood was much calmer than earlier in the week when
developments in French and Japanese politics sent yields higher
worldwide, but with bond markets having been under pressure for
much of the year, the calm is unlikely to last.
French caretaker Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu, who
tendered his resignation on Monday, struck a cautiously
optimistic tone earlier in the day, saying a deal could
potentially be reached on the country's budget by year-end,
making the possibility of a snap election less likely.
That sent the yield on France's 10-year bond to
its lowest since September 18 at 3.505%. It was last down 5
basis points on the day at 3.52%, having traded close to 3.6% on
Monday and Tuesday after the resignation of Lecornu, France's
fifth prime minister in less than two years. Bond yields move
inversely with prices.
GERMANY'S 10-YEAR YIELD DOWN 3 BPS
Germany's 10-year yield was down 3 bps at 2.679%
, narrowing the gap between French and German 10-year
yields to 84 bps down from nearly 88 bps on Monday.
The gap, the premium investors require to lend to France
rather than Germany, remains elevated and is among the highest
in the euro zone.
Analysts were wary of getting too excited about Wednesday's
move in French yields.
"I suspect there is some short covering going on, but it
doesn't really change the context," said Kenneth Broux, head of
corporate research FX and rates at Societe Generale, pointing to
France's large deficit.
"The risk premium in OATs (French government bonds) may be
here to stay for a while."
Lecornu was set to be interviewed on French TV about 8 p.m.
(1800 GMT), though the leader of France's Socialist Party
Olivier Faure said they could not back the government's budget
plan as it stands.
France aside, there was little else for euro zone bond
investors to process.
Data showed German industrial output fell much more than
expected in August due to a sharp decrease in production in the
car industry. But with the European Central Bank seemingly
firmly on hold for now, it would take a lot more bad economic
news to raise bets on a further rate cut this year.
Germany's rate-sensitive two-year yield dipped 1.5 basis
points to 1.987%.
Earlier, Japanese government bonds were also calmer
following a tumultuous few days as speculation swirled about the
course of the country's fiscal policy.
Still to come on Wednesday is the release of minutes of the
latest meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve's rate setting
committee. It would not typically be market moving, though due
to the U.S. shutdown causing an absence of major economic data,
the minutes could take on greater significance.