financetom
World
financetom
/
World
/
German bund yield steady ahead of ECB policy decision
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
German bund yield steady ahead of ECB policy decision
Jun 5, 2024 3:31 AM

(Updates at 0944 GMT)

By Samuel Indyk

LONDON, June 5 (Reuters) - Germany's 10-year government

bond yield was steady on Wednesday after its sharpest two-day

drop since March following weak U.S. and European data, with

focus set to shift to the European Central Bank's policy

announcement on Thursday.

The ECB is widely expected to lower its deposit rate from a

record high of 4%, but there remains uncertainty about the

future path for rates.

Money market traders are pricing around 63 basis points

(bps) of cuts this year, implying two quarter-point moves and

around a 50% chance of a third cut.

"We're all sitting and waiting for tomorrow. We think the

ECB will do the 25 (basis point cut) and then say we have to

wait and see how data evolves," said Jens Peter Sørensen,

director, fixed income research at Danske Bank.

"If they do that then I think the market reaction should be

fairly benign."

Some policymakers have tried to take a move at the following

meeting in July off the table, while others, including French

rate-setter Francois Villeroy de Galhau, appeared more open to a

second straight move.

Much will depend on how inflation and wage data unfold over

the coming months.

On Wednesday, data showed euro zone producer prices fell 1%

in April.

Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for

the euro zone bloc, was up less than 1 bp at 2.549%. It fell 11

bps in the prior two days, its biggest two-day fall since March.

Bond yields move inversely with prices.

Germany's two-year bond yield, which is more

sensitive to European Central Bank rate expectations, was also

up 1 bp at 3.008%.

Yields across the globe have broadly fallen this week on the

back of soft labour market data from the U.S. and disappointing

manufacturing figures from both the U.S. and euro area.

Data on Tuesday showed a larger-than-expected drop in U.S.

job openings in April, pushing the number of available jobs per

job-seeker to its lowest in nearly three years.

"JOLTS data adds to a multitude of indicators that suggest

that some slowdown maybe coming in the US labour market," said

Mohit Kumar, chief economist Europe at Jefferies.

The benchmark U.S. Treasury yield was up 1.5 bps at 4.35% on

Wednesday, but still down over 20 bps in the last four trading

days.

The spread between U.S. 10-year Treasuries and German bunds

was at 180 bps, close to its tightest level since

March.

Italy's 10-year yield was higher by 1 bp​ at

3.88%, meaning the yield gap between Italian and German bonds

, a measure of risk premium investors seek to hold

Italian paper, stood at 132 bps.

(Reporting by Samuel Indyk; Editing by Andrew Heavens and

Sriraj Kalluvila)

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Bitcoin Boom Likely as Bond Yields Surge - Yes, You Read That Correctly
Bitcoin Boom Likely as Bond Yields Surge - Yes, You Read That Correctly
May 26, 2025
Hardening government bond yields, especially on U.S. treasury notes, have traditionally been viewed as a headwind for bitcoin (BTC) and other risk assets. However, recent persistent resilience in treasury yields suggests a different story — one driven by factors that could be bullish for bitcoin, according to analysts. The U.S. data released Tuesday showed the consumer price index (CPI) rose...
Gold Drops to Lowest in a Month on Falling Safe-Haven Demand
Gold Drops to Lowest in a Month on Falling Safe-Haven Demand
May 26, 2025
09:30 AM EDT, 05/14/2025 (MT Newswires) -- Gold traded at the lowest in a month early on Wednesday despite a weaker dollar as the price of the precious metal consolidates under its April record high as investors move to risk assets and safe haven demand retreats. Gold for June delivery was last seen down US$50.50 to US$3,197.30 per ounce, the...
CANADA STOCKS-TSX opens flat as focus shifts to emerging trade developments
CANADA STOCKS-TSX opens flat as focus shifts to emerging trade developments
May 26, 2025
May 14 (Reuters) - Canada's main stock index opened subdued on Wednesday as investors focused on trade developments after a strong start to the week, influenced by soft U.S. inflation and Washington's trade truce with China. At 9:31 a.m. ET (1331 GMT), the Toronto Stock Exchange's S&P/TSX composite index was down 0.09% at 25,593.37 points. ...
Asian Equities Traded in the US as American Depositary Receipts Rise in Wednesday Trading
Asian Equities Traded in the US as American Depositary Receipts Rise in Wednesday Trading
May 26, 2025
10:36 AM EDT, 05/14/2025 (MT Newswires) -- Asian equities traded in the US as American depositary receipts were tracking higher Wednesday morning, rising 0.3% to 2,268.68 on the S&P Asia 50 ADR Index. From North Asia, the gainers were led by education company 17 Education & Technology Group ( YQ ) and music streaming service Tencent Music Entertainment Group (...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved