BERLIN, July 27 (Reuters) - German business morale grew more
than expected in July as the outlook for companies improved
across sectors, a survey showed on Monday, although they
continue to face risks from the impact of the Iran war.
The Ifo institute said its business climate index rose to
86.6, its highest level since February and the third consecutive
monthly increase. It rose from a slightly upwardly revised 85.7
in June.
Analysts polled by Reuters had forecast an increase to 86.0.
"Despite the uncertain situation in the Persian Gulf, the
German economy is showing less pessimism," Ifo President Clemens
Fuest said.
"Even if the third consecutive increase in the Ifo index is
not yet a reason to prepare for the next growth party in
Germany, it at least shows a certain resilience of the economy,"
said Carsten Brzeski, global head of macro at ING.
CURRENT SITUATION LESS GOOD
Economic expectations rose to 86.7 in July from 84.3 in
June, posting a six-month high.
This reflected the government's recent reform package, its
continued commitment to infrastructure-related fiscal stimulus,
and hopes that the worst of the U.S.-Iran war is over, said
Claus Vistesen, chief euro zone economist at Pantheon
Macroeconomics.
However, companies were slightly less satisfied with their
current business performance, with the index falling to 86.5 in
July from 87.0 in the previous month.
"Today's Ifo index reading probably reflects more the
initial relief after the U.S.-Iran Memorandum of Understanding
than the recent surge in energy prices," said Brzeski.
The recent escalation in the conflict in the Gulf and the
associated renewed rise in oil and gas prices are likely to have
weighed on the current situation index and remain a risk for the
coming months, said Marc Schattenberg, research economist at
Deutsche Bank.
Business sentiment improved across all economic sectors, the
survey showed.