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German government bond yields fall to 2-week lows
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German government bond yields fall to 2-week lows
Feb 27, 2025 8:49 AM

LONDON, Feb 27 (Reuters) - German government bond yields

fell to a two-week low on Thursday, pulled down by concerns

about the bloc's economy.

Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for

the euro zone bloc, fell to 2.412%, the lowest since February

11, and was last down 2 basis points (bps) at 2.42%. Yields move

inversely to prices.

European stocks fell after a threat from U.S. President

Donald Trump to impose 25% tariffs on imports from the region.

Euro zone bond yields rose in mid-February as investors

braced for more defence spending as U.S. President Donald Trump

embarked on talks with Russia over ending the war in Ukraine.

But they have since dipped, influenced in part by a sharp

drop in U.S. Treasury yields as weak private sector and consumer

sentiment data has surprised investors, and also as incoming

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has cast doubt on a big

military spending boost in the country.

Analysts argued that an increase in fiscal spending in

Germany could boost the economy across the euro area.

​Italy's 10-year yield was 0.5 bps higher at

3.50%, and the gap between Italian and German yields

widened to 107 bps.

Spanish inflation came in slightly stronger than expected in

February, at 2.9%.

Separate European Commission figures showed euro zone

economic sentiment improved in February, with consumer price

expectations moving higher.

"Surveys so far this year, including Thursday's EC survey

for February, suggest the economy remains very weak while

inflationary pressures are still somewhat elevated," said Adrian

Prettejohn, Europe economist at Capital Economics.

He said price pressures may worry ECB policymakers. They

meet next week to decide on interest rates and markets are

expecting another 25 bp cut, to 2.5%, and see two or three more

reductions after that.

The accounts of the ECB's January 29-30 meeting showed there

were still some worries about inflation, warranting caution in

signalling further policy easing.

The spread between U.S. 10-year Treasuries and German yields

widened to 187 bps after falling to its lowest

since November at 182 bps on Wednesday.

Traders who bet on the future course of inflation foresee

the sharpest divergence for three years between the U.S. and

euro zone, partly driven by Trump's tariff threats, which he

renewed on Wednesday.

Yet the spread between U.S. and European yields has narrowed

as investors focus on recent tepid U.S. economic data, despite

sticky prices, and more euro zone defence spending.

Germany's two-year bond yield, which is more

sensitive to European Central Bank rate expectations, was last

down 3 bps at 2.04%, after hitting 2.033%, its lowest level

since February 11.

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