LONDON, Feb 27 (Reuters) - German government bond yields
fell to a two-week low on Thursday, pulled down by concerns
about the bloc's economy.
Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for
the euro zone bloc, fell to 2.412%, the lowest since February
11, and was last down 2 basis points (bps) at 2.42%. Yields move
inversely to prices.
European stocks fell after a threat from U.S. President
Donald Trump to impose 25% tariffs on imports from the region.
Euro zone bond yields rose in mid-February as investors
braced for more defence spending as U.S. President Donald Trump
embarked on talks with Russia over ending the war in Ukraine.
But they have since dipped, influenced in part by a sharp
drop in U.S. Treasury yields as weak private sector and consumer
sentiment data has surprised investors, and also as incoming
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has cast doubt on a big
military spending boost in the country.
Analysts argued that an increase in fiscal spending in
Germany could boost the economy across the euro area.
Italy's 10-year yield was 0.5 bps higher at
3.50%, and the gap between Italian and German yields
widened to 107 bps.
Spanish inflation came in slightly stronger than expected in
February, at 2.9%.
Separate European Commission figures showed euro zone
economic sentiment improved in February, with consumer price
expectations moving higher.
"Surveys so far this year, including Thursday's EC survey
for February, suggest the economy remains very weak while
inflationary pressures are still somewhat elevated," said Adrian
Prettejohn, Europe economist at Capital Economics.
He said price pressures may worry ECB policymakers. They
meet next week to decide on interest rates and markets are
expecting another 25 bp cut, to 2.5%, and see two or three more
reductions after that.
The accounts of the ECB's January 29-30 meeting showed there
were still some worries about inflation, warranting caution in
signalling further policy easing.
The spread between U.S. 10-year Treasuries and German yields
widened to 187 bps after falling to its lowest
since November at 182 bps on Wednesday.
Traders who bet on the future course of inflation foresee
the sharpest divergence for three years between the U.S. and
euro zone, partly driven by Trump's tariff threats, which he
renewed on Wednesday.
Yet the spread between U.S. and European yields has narrowed
as investors focus on recent tepid U.S. economic data, despite
sticky prices, and more euro zone defence spending.
Germany's two-year bond yield, which is more
sensitive to European Central Bank rate expectations, was last
down 3 bps at 2.04%, after hitting 2.033%, its lowest level
since February 11.