* Ifo index rises to 84.9 in May, beating analyst
expectations
* Economists warn growth outlook remains weak despite
improved sentiment
* Rising energy prices and global risks threaten fragile
recovery, economists say
(Adds GDP details and economist comments from paragraph 5)
By Maria Martinez
BERLIN, May 22 (Reuters) - German business morale
unexpectedly improved in May, a survey showed on Friday, but
economists warn that the outlook for Europe's biggest economy
remains fragile despite separate data confirming first-quarter
growth of 0.3%.
The Ifo institute said its business climate index rose to 84.9
compared to a revised 84.5 in April.
Analysts polled by Reuters had forecast a decrease to 84.2.
"Following the slump in March and April, business sentiment
in Germany has recovered slightly," Ifo President Clemens Fuest
said.
The Ifo index improved across all sectors, with the exception
of construction.
Alexander Krueger, chief economist at Hauck Aufhaeuser Lampe,
said despite the signs of improvement, "sentiment remains stuck
in the basement". "The outlook for both the present and the
future remains gloomy."
GROWTH OUTLOOK REMAINS WEAK DESPITE IMPROVED SENTIMENT
Germany's economy, which has struggled to regain momentum since
the COVID-19 pandemic, grew 0.3% in the first quarter of 2026
compared with the previous quarter, the statistics office said
on Friday, defying the impact of the Iran war. A rise in exports
at the start of the year helped drive growth.
However, the surge in energy prices triggered by the war poses
a threat to its long-awaited recovery, some analysts said.
"The German economy is stabilising for the time being, but the
situation remains fragile," Fuest said.
Joerg Kraemer, chief economist at Commerzbank, said the economy
was likely to shrink in the second quarter.
Meanwhile, businesses were slightly more satisfied with their
current operations, with the index rising to 86.1 from 85.4 in
April.
The outlook for the coming months was also less pessimistic,
Ifo said, with the corresponding index rising to 83.8 from 83.5
in the previous month.
Carsten Brzeski, global head of macro at ING, sees a
complicated combination of downside risks in the near-term due
to the Middle East conflict and continued optimism on the back
of fiscal stimulus further down the line.
"A combination that, at least for now, should shield the
German economy against recession, but not against
near-stagnation," Brzeski said.
(Reporting by María Martínez; Editing by Thomas Seythal and
Emelia Sithole-Matarise)