* Investors trim ECB hike expectations
* Bond yields following oil price movements
* German 10-year yield hits lowest since July 15
(Updates for late European morning trading)
By Samuel Indyk
LONDON, Aug 5 (Reuters) - Germany's 10-year government bond
yield fell for a third consecutive day on Wednesday, driven by
optimism over a potential U.S.-Iran deal to reopen the Strait of
Hormuz.
U.S. President Donald Trump said that the U.S. and Iran were
having "very good discussions", fuelling expectations of an end
to the five-month conflict that has severely disrupted energy
supplies from the Middle East.
Growing confidence that a deal can be reached pushed Brent
futures to almost $78 per barrel early on Wednesday,
their lowest in more than three weeks, although they have since
ticked higher after Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthi rebels said they
attacked a Saudi oil tanker in the Red Sea.
"Yields are just following what's happening with the oil
market," said Mohit Kumar, chief economist Europe at Jefferies.
"In July you had a massive rally in oil and yields rose. Now
oil is coming off, so yields are coming off as well."
Germany's 10-year yield, the euro zone
benchmark, was last down 1.5 basis points at 3.104%, after
earlier hitting its lowest since July 15 at 3.089%. Bond yields
move inversely with prices.
LESS TIGHTENING?
The European Central Bank in June became the first major
central bank to tighten policy since the start of the war in
February, but kept interest rates on hold last month, signalling
that it needed more time to assess the impact of the energy
price spike.
Policymakers are watching for signs of second-round effects,
where higher energy prices feed into wages and the cost of other
goods and services, making inflation more entrenched.
Inflation in the 21 nations that share the euro currency
ticked up to 2.9% in July, data showed last week.
But falling energy prices this week have softened worries
about higher inflation and a slowdown in growth, and helped
reduce expectations for further policy tightening from the ECB.
Futures markets are now pricing in just 36 bps of tightening
from the ECB by the end of the year, implying one more
quarter-point hike and around a 45% chance of a second. On
Friday, investors had been pricing in around 44 bps of
tightening this year.
Germany's 2-year yield, which is sensitive to
changes in ECB policy expectations, was little changed on the
day at 2.722% after earlier falling to 2.6951%, its lowest since
July 13.