LONDON, Dec 13 (Reuters) - Asian spot liquefied natural
gas (LNG) prices fell this week amid weak demand and the
availability of more supply in the spot market.
The average LNG price for January delivery into north-east
Asia was at $14.50 per million British thermal units
(mmBtu), down from $15.00/mmBtu last week, industry sources
estimated.
The price for February delivery was estimated even lower at
$13.50/mmBtu, the sources said.
"Rates in Asia have continued to slide due to weak demand,
coupled with ample storage, and exacerbated by majors offering
out for prompt into Q1 cargoes. We're likely to see further dips
as the winter has been relatively mild," said Toby Copson, an
independent LNG expert.
Samuel Good, head of LNG pricing at Argus, said that
purchasing interest across Asia more broadly has weakened in the
face of recent higher prices. There has also been more supply
offered on the spot market both from the Asia-Pacific and also
the Atlantic as sellers in the basin look to Asia amid weaker
European demand.
In Europe, gas prices have fallen nearly 9% over the week on
a sell-off in net long positions by investment funds and milder
weather forecasts lowering heating demand.
"Incremental revisions to weather forecasts for north-west
Europe over the rest of this month have weighed heavily on
heating demand expectations, helping to ease concerns for the
region's quick underground gas storage withdrawals in recent
weeks, which would have to be made up again next summer," Good
said.
EU gas storage inventories are currently around 80.16% full,
data from Gas Infrastructure Europe showed, down from 91% at the
same time last year and below the 5-year average of 83%.
"The question now is at what levels inventories will be at
the end of the winter and whether there will be enough time to
rebuild before the next winter," said Hans Van Cleef, chief
energy economist at PZ - Energy.
"The fact is that the forward curve is in contango (where
the LNG futures price is higher than the spot price) leaves no
incentive to start buying gas in the summer for storage and
usage in winter 25-26. This could lead to even more upward price
pressure in the course of next year," Van Cleef said.
S&P Global Commodity Insights assessed its daily North West
Europe LNG Marker (NWM) price benchmark for cargoes delivered in
January on an ex-ship (DES) basis at $12.962/mmBtu on Dec. 12, a
$0.14/mmBtu discount to the January gas price at the Dutch TTF
hub.
Argus assessed the price at $12.900/mmBtu, while Spark
Commodities assessed it at $12.914/mmBtu.
The U.S. arbitrage to north-east Asia via the Panama Canal
is currently closed, signalling U.S. cargos are incentivised to
deliver to north-west Europe, said Spark Commodities analyst
Qasim Afghan.
In LNG freight, Atlantic rates rose for the third week
running to $22,750/day on Friday, while Pacific rates fell to
$21,250/day, Afghan added.