LONDON, Aug 8 (Reuters) - Asian spot liquefied natural
gas (LNG) prices declined this week due to weak demand and as
markets awaited further clarity on U.S. Russian energy sanctions
or secondary tariffs.
The average LNG price for September delivery into north-east
Asia was at $11.90 per million British thermal units
(mmBtu), down from $12.10/mmBtu last week, industry sources
estimated.
Spot global gas prices have been relatively rangebound since
the start of summer gas season in April, with a brief spike
during the Iran strikes in June, said Alex Froley, senior LNG
analyst at ICIS, adding that he expected this trend to continue
during the remaining months of the summer season.
"The market will be paying close attention to the latest
news on tariffs and peace talks between Russia, the U.S. and
Ukraine. Increased tariffs on countries like India could slow
global trade, cutting energy demand. There's also the
possibility of further targeted energy sanctions that could
affect oil and gas demand more directly," he said.
President Trump's imposition of an additional 25% tariff on
India for its purchases of Russian oil came with a 21-day delay,
resulting in a sharp sell-off in energy markets, including gas,
said Rabobank energy strategist Florence Schmit.
"While gas and LNG supplies are not at risk under the
current sanctions and tariff threats, uncertainty about whether
gas might be included in the future will keep markets on edge.
Until then, gas markets are experiencing some downtime thanks to
ample supply," she added.
In South Korea, spot demand has been weak, with many
gas-fired power plants not able to compete on price with
coal-fired generation, whereas strong hydro generation following
heavy rains and temperatures in line with seasonal averages in
southern China has weighed on gas-fired generation, said Martin
Senior, head of LNG pricing at Argus.
In Europe, prices remained relatively stable as Friday marks
the deadline for Russia to respond to the U.S. ceasefire
ultimatum, with secondary oil tariffs on the table.
Russian President Vladimir Putin and U.S. President Donald
Trump will meet in the coming days.
"Looking ahead, anticipated Norwegian maintenance later this
month, coupled with the need for further injections into
Europe's underground storage, could provide upward price support
in the second half of August," said Aly Blakeway, manager of
Atlantic LNG at S&P Global Commodity Insights.
S&P Global Commodity Insights assessed its daily North West
Europe LNG Marker (NWM) price benchmark for cargoes delivered in
September on an ex-ship (DES) basis at $10.793/mmBtu on August
7, a $0.475 /mmBtu discount to the September futures price at
the TTF hub.
Argus assessed the price at $10.825/mmBtu, while Spark
Commodities assessed it at $10.764/mmBtu.
The U.S. arbitrage to north-east Asia via the Cape of Good
Hope is now only marginally incentivising U.S. cargos to deliver
to Europe, while he arbitrage via Panama is pointing to Asia,
said Spark Commodities analyst Qasim Afghan.
Global LNG freight rates remained relatively stable, with
the Atlantic rates assessed at $35,750/day and Pacific rates at
$33,000/day, Afghan added.