LONDON, Aug 15 (Reuters) - Asian spot liquefied natural
gas (LNG) prices declined this week on soft demand and strong
storage inventories and as markets awaited the outcome of a
meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian leader
Vladimir Putin later today.
The average LNG price for September delivery into north-east
Asia was at $11.65 per million British thermal units
(mmBtu), down from $11.90/mmBtu last week, industry sources
estimated.
The contract for October delivery was estimated at
$11.45/mmBtu.
"This (meeting) may not only be decisive for Ukraine but
also for the fate of Russian sanctions and economic development
between the two nations. It may not be surprising if Russia
would open discussion on Arctic LNG 2, as it's clearest link to
LNG markets," said Klaas Dozeman, market analyst at Brainchild
Commodity Intelligence.
Sanctioned by the United States, Russia's 19.8 million tons
per annum (mtpa) Arctic LNG 2 terminal has had two of its three
trains installed and could quickly add to global supply if
sanctions were loosened.
Conversely, Russia's Yamal and Sakhalin LNG export terminals
export about 30 mtpa and could be subject to future sanctions if
those were bolstered, said Martin Senior, head of LNG pricing at
Argus.
Geopolitics remain the wild card, said Arturo Regalado,
senior LNG analyst at Kpler.
"A lack of progress could reignite concerns over tighter
sanctions on Russian energy, as well as potential secondary U.S.
tariffs on Russian oil and gas buyers," he said.
While the weather has turned a slightly hotter again in Asia
it has not attracted major spot purchases - partly due to the
pressure on oil prices - which meant oil-indexed long term LNG
contracts became competitive against spot purchases, Dozeman
said.
Argus' Senior said that some Chinese demand has emerged,
with Beijing Gas buying two cargoes below $12/mmBtu. The firm
last year said that it viewed $12/mmBtu and above as too
expensive for LNG imports.
Prices are seen lower next week as high Chinese inventories
continue to keep north-east Asian spot demand soft, with stable
Pacific supply and seasonal temperatures adding to the bearish
tone, said Kpler's Regalado.
In Europe, gas prices at the Dutch TTF hub were trading in a
narrow range on Friday with heatwave across the continent was
starting to ease and as markets focused on the Trump-Putin
meeting.
S&P Global Commodity Insights assessed its daily North West
Europe LNG Marker (NWM) price benchmark for cargoes delivered in
September on an ex-ship (DES) basis at $10.582/mmBtu on August
14, a $0.415 /mmBtu discount to the September futures price at
the TTF hub.
Argus assessed the price at $10.540/mmBtu, while Spark
Commodities assessed it at $10.534/mmBtu
The U.S. arbitrage to north-east Asia via the Cape of Good
Hope is still incentivising U.S. cargos to deliver to Europe.
Similarly, the arbitrage via Panama is pointing to Europe, said
Spark Commodities analyst Qasim Afghan.
Global LNG freight rates remained relatively steady, with
the Atlantic rates assessed at $36,000/day and Pacific rates at
$33,250/day, Afghan added.