LONDON, Nov 15 (Reuters) - Asian spot liquefied natural
gas (LNG) rose slightly this week tracking European gas markets,
while warm weather forecasts, strong storage inventories and
weak economic data in China helped keep demand muted.
The average LNG price for December delivery into northeast
Asia rose slightly to $13.60 per million British
thermal units (mmBtu) from $13.40/mmBtu last week, industry
sources estimated.
The price for January delivery was estimated at $14/mmBtu.
"Asian LNG front-month prices remained largely stable...due
to a rise in European TTF prices. This stability reflects weak
fundamentals, with robust supply and reduced demand driven by
unseasonably warm weather," said Go Katayama, LNG and natural
gas analyst at Kpler.
"Although colder temperatures are forecasted for Northeast
Asia, these are expected to remain brief. Some spot demand may
arise as winter progresses, but ample spot supply should keep
prices balanced for the week ahead," Katayama added.
In Japan and South Korea, temperatures will gradually drop
towards normal levels in the coming week, however, heating
demand across Asia remains lower than average for the time of
year, said Klaas Dozeman, market analyst at Brainchild Commodity
Intelligence.
Economic numbers have been pressuring industrial demand,
most notably the disappointing inflation numbers from China
accompanied by lower producer prices, he said.
Asian prices were supported by European gas prices which
rose to a near one-year high amid ongoing concerns over Russian
supply and as cold weather sapped gas stocks.
Austrian energy group OMV said an award of more than $243
million in connection with irregular German gas supplies from
Gazprom could impact its Gazprom supply deal.
Extremely low wind output, particularly in Germany,
coincided with temperature declines, resulting in high gas
consumption for power and heating purposes, leading to
significant net withdrawals from underground gas facilities
across the continent, Kpler's Katayama said.
European gas storage sites were last 92.1% full, down from
95.2% seen at the start of the month, data from Gas
Infrastructure Europe showed.
S&P Global Commodity Insights assessed its daily North West
Europe LNG Marker (NWM) price benchmark for cargoes delivered in
December on an ex-ship (DES) basis at $14.058/mmBtu on Nov. 14,
a $0.25/mmBtu discount to the December gas price at the Dutch
TTF hub, the highest prices seen in nearly a year.
Argus assessed the price at $13.535/mmBtu, while Spark
Commodities assessed it at $14.107/mmBtu.
On the back of this rally, the U.S. arbitrage, diverting a
physical cargo from one market to another, to north-east Asia
for December fell by $0.65 and is currently pricing in at
$0.88/mmBtu, signalling that prompt month U.S. cargos are
incentivised to voyage to Northwest Europe for an eighth week
straight, said Spark Commodities analyst Qasim Afghan.
In LNG freight, Atlantic rates have risen to $26,000/day on
Friday, while Pacific rates continued to decline for the 14th
straight week to $26,000/day, he added.