SINGAPORE, Aug 1 (Reuters) - Asian spot liquefied
natural gas (LNG) prices inched up after two previous weeks of
declines as geopolitical risk factors including U.S. threats of
sanctions on energy producer Russia, and supply concerns lent
support.
The average LNG price for September delivery into Northeast
Asia was at $12.10 per million British thermal units
(mmBtu), up from $11.90/mmBtu last week, industry sources
estimated.
Geopolitics was back on stage with the threat of sanctions
on offtakers of Russian oil and gas, potentially tightening the
market if LNG is purchased elsewhere, said Klaas Dozeman, market
analyst at Brainchild Commodity Intelligence, but added it
remains unclear how things will turn out.
U.S. President Donald Trump has threatened sanctions on both
Russia and buyers of its exports unless Moscow makes progress
toward ending the war in Ukraine by August 8.
Dozeman added that a trade agreement the U.S. struck with
the European Union remained supportive, as the EU pledged to buy
$250 billion of U.S. energy supplies per year.
Additionally boosting prices, this week's earthquake in
eastern Russia triggering tsunami alerts and a slower than
expected ramp-up at LNG Canada added to supply concerns, said
analysts.
"Still, any upside is capped by weak cooling demand across
South and Southeast Asia, and elevated LNG inventory and
underground gas storage in China," said Kpler analyst Go
Katayama.
In Europe, S&P Global Commodity Insights assessed its daily
North West Europe LNG Marker price benchmark for cargoes
delivered in September on an ex-ship basis at $11.347/mmBtu on
July 31, a $0.45/mmBtu discount to the September futures price
at the Dutch TTF hub.
Argus assessed the price at $11.39/mmBtu, while Spark
Commodities assessed it at $11.374/mmBtu.
"Continued strong pipeline (gas) flows and high German wind
generation will suppress bullish impulses. However, LNG supply
tightness from Italy's Rovigo maintenance and intensified
Egyptian procurement activity may introduce upward risk," said
Kpler's Katayama.
One LNG cargo was diverted from the Netherlands to Egypt,
said Argus head of LNG pricing Martin Senior, adding that high
temperatures in Egypt could support demand for additional
cargoes.
The U.S. arbitrage to Northeast Asia via the Cape of Good
Hope widened this week to continue incentivising U.S. cargo
deliveries to Europe, said Spark Commodities analyst Qasim
Afghan. The arbitrage via Panama, which had pointed to Asia for
almost two weeks, is now closed and pointing to Europe.
In LNG freight, Atlantic rates rose to $35,500/day on
Friday, while Pacific rates declined for a fifth straight week
to $33,500/day, he added.