SINGAPORE, Aug 29 (Reuters) - Asian spot liquefied
natural gas (LNG) prices slipped this week on muted demand and
ample supply, with the delivery of an LNG cargo from a
sanctioned Russian project adding to supply concerns.
The average LNG price for October delivery into Northeast
Asia was at $11.15 per million British thermal units
(mmBtu), down from $11.40/mmBtu last week, industry sources
estimated.
"LNG market sentiment remained calm with arbitrage for U.S.
cargoes still Europe-bound. Major Northeast Asian buyers have
limited interest in prompt cargoes due to high stocks and a
relatively loosened Pacific balance," said Kesher Sumeet, senior
LNG analyst at Energy Aspects.
"The risk of Russia's Arctic LNG 2 ramping up LNG exports
has significantly increased with the first unloading of a cargo
from the facility in China. A full, sustained ramp-up of the
first two trains at Arctic LNG 2 is a significant downside risk
to JKM prices," Sumeet added, referring to the
Japan-Korea-Marker LNG benchmark price assessment for spot
physical cargoes in Asia.
The Arctic LNG 2 cargo delivery has weighed on Chinese
demand expectations for spot LNG, freeing up spot supply
elsewhere, said Martin Senior, head of LNG pricing at Argus.
Additional supply from new projects is also pressuring
prices, said Siamak Adibi, director for gas and LNG supply
analytics at consultancy FGE.
Besides ramp-ups from Plaquemines in the U.S., new projects
like LNG Canada, Greater Tortue Ahmeyim offshore West Africa and
Congo LNG could add around 0.5 million tons per month in July
and August, while the return of Norway's Hammerfest LNG after
being offline since May represents a recovery of around 400,000
tons per month, he said.
In Europe, S&P Global Commodity Insights assessed its daily
North West Europe LNG Marker price benchmark for cargoes
delivered in October on an ex-ship basis at $10.334/mmBtu on
August 28, a $0.56/mmBtu discount to the October futures price
at the Dutch TTF hub.
Argus assessed the price at $10.345/mmBtu, while Spark
Commodities assessed the September price at $10.264/mmBtu.
"In Europe, LNG demand is still strong year-on-year, but
overall gas consumption is weak. Pipeline flows from Azerbaijan
and Norway have averaged high for August, allowing inventories
to build," said FGE's Adibi, adding that Europe's gas storage is
now close to 77% full.
"However, ongoing Norwegian pipeline maintenance may lend
some support to TTF prices in September. Looking ahead, if no
major or unexpected outages happen, October prices are likely to
remain under pressure once again as European storage levels
continue to rise."
The U.S. arbitrage to Northeast Asia via the Cape of Good
Hope widened for the third consecutive week to continue
incentivising deliveries to Europe, said Spark Commodities
analyst Max Glen-Doepel. The arbitrage via Panama also widened
this week to point to Europe.
In LNG freight, Atlantic rates fell to $34,250/day on
Friday, while Pacific rates declined to $33,500/day, he added.