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Asian stock markets : https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
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Nikkei climbs as Takaichi nearer to PM job
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China economy set to slow, adding to case for more
stimulus
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Wall St futures edge up on hopes for solid earnings
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Bonds underpinned by expectations of multiple Fed cuts
By Wayne Cole
SYDNEY, Oct 20 (Reuters) - Asian share markets pushed
higher on Monday amid optimism on earnings as reporting season
gets into full swing, while a reading on U.S. inflation is
expected to be no more than a speed bump on the way to further
rate cuts.
Data on the Chinese economy are forecast to show growth
slowed to 4.8% in the third quarter, while retail sales and
industrial output should underline the need for stimulus as
policymakers convene to discuss the latest Five-Year Plan.
Figures out in the United States on Friday, and despite the
government shutdown, are expected to show core inflation held at
3.1% in September, but should not trouble markets given the
Federal Reserve has not pushed back against pricing for cuts.
"Chair Powell has highlighted the importance of signs of a
weakening job market in the Fed's policy considerations," said
Michael Feroli, head of U.S. economics at JPMorgan. "That
confirmed widely held expectations that the FOMC will cut rates
again at its next meeting in just over two weeks."
Futures are fully priced for a quarter-point easing this
month, and another in December, with rates seen reaching 3.0% by
the middle of next year.
Japan's Nikkei led Asia higher with a rise of 1.5%
encouraged by news the Liberal Democratic Party and the Japan
Innovation Party have agreed to form a coalition government,
setting the stage for the country's first female prime minister.
Analysts assume Sanae Takaichi would be pro-stimulus and
against further hikes in interest rates, a negative for the yen
and bonds but a plus for equities.
Shares in South Korea added 0.6%, while MSCI's
broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
firmed 0.1%.
For Wall Street, S&P 500 futures were steady, while
Nasdaq futures edged up 0.1% on expectations for upbeat
earnings this week.
HIGH EXPECTATIONS FOR EARNINGS
Reports include Tesla, Ford, GM,
Netflix ( NFLX ), Procter & Gamble ( PG ) and Coca-Cola,
along with aerospace and defence giant RTX and tech
stalwarts IBM ( IBM ) and Intel ( INTC ).
The UK also has major banks reporting this week while
software giant SAP will make a splash in Germany.
EUROSTOXX 50 futures edged up 0.4%, while DAX
futures firmed 0.5% and FTSE futures 0.1%.
S&P 500 companies overall are expected to have increased
earnings by 8.8% in the third quarter from a year earlier,
according to LSEG IBES, and strong results will be needed to
justify the market's lofty valuations.
The prospect of a series of Fed rate cuts has underpinned
bonds, with 10-year yields falling almost 14 basis
points last week to currently stand at 4.011%.
The slide in yields has pressured the dollar against
European and higher-yielding currencies, with the euro at
$1.1656 having edged up 0.3% last week despite a
surprise credit downgrade of France.
The yen had its own problems as investors have scaled back
pricing for a Bank of Japan rate hike this month to just 22%,
with a move in December put at 50-50.
The dollar was up 0.2% at 150.92 yen, while the
euro made similar gains to 175.89. The dollar index
was flat at 98.543.
In commodity markets, gold remained in high demand after
jumping almost 6% last week to as far as $4,378.69. The metal
was trading at $4,245 an ounce, with $4,200 now acting as
chart support.
"On a three-year horizon, we believe that there is more room
for gold prices to rise, eventually reaching a target of $5,000
an ounce in 2028 due to a structural change in demand for the
metal by investors and central banks," said Lorenzo Portelli,
head of cross-asset strategy at Amundi Investment Institute.
Oil prices continued to be weighed by ample supplies as
OPEC+ keeps raising its output.
Brent was flat at $61.28 a barrel, while U.S. crude
held at $57.57 per barrel.