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Asian stock markets : https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
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Nikkei futures point to 2,000 point bounce
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S&P 500 futures rise 0.9%, Nasdaq up 1.1%
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Yen off highs, dollar up 0.8% at 145.24 yen
By Wayne Cole
SYDNEY, Aug 6 (Reuters) - Asian share markets were
hoping for a relief rally on Tuesday as futures pointed to an
opening bounce on the hard-hit Nikkei and central bank officials
said all the right things to soothe market nerves.
Nikkei futures were trading at 33,640, suggesting the
cash market could open around 2,000 points higher from its
31,458 close on Monday. The index had shed 12.4% in its worst
selloff since the 1987 Black Monday crash.
Wall Street also looked steadier with S&P 500 futures
rebounding 0.9% in early trade, while Nasdaq futures rose
1.2%. The S&P 500 had lost 3.00% over Monday, with the
Nasdaq Composite down 3.43%.
"After the breathtaking and historic moves seen across Asian
markets yesterday, driven predominantly by a significant
liquidation of margin positions, we look for a solid counter
rally on open today," said Chris Weston, head of research at
broker Pepperstone.
However, he cautioned that the level of implied volatility
for the Nikkei was at a stratospheric 70%, suggesting fireworks
were likely for some time yet.
"After such a furious shake-out of leveraged positioning,
with Japanese banks absolutely taken to the cleaners, it will
take the bravest of investors to buy with any conviction."
Currencies were also calmer as the dollar edged up to 144.24
yen, having sunk 1.5% on Monday to as deep as 141.675.
The yen has shot higher in recent sessions as investors were
squeezed out of carry trades, where they borrowed yen at low
rates to buy higher yielding assets.
The dollar pared its losses on the safe-haven Swiss franc,
holding at 0.8526 francs from a low of 0.8430.
"The fact that there was such a strong unwind in the
dollar/yen, in turn forced investors to take some profits where
they've been hiding out this year, which has been mostly big
tech," said Kevin Gordon, senior investment strategist at
Schwab.
"It's become the biggest target because it was the best
performer and that's probably the easiest spot for traders to
take their profits."
Treasury yields had also come off their lows, in part in
reaction to a rebound in the U.S. ISM services index to 51.4 for
July. In particular, it employment index jumped 5 points to
51.1, suggesting last week's payrolls report may have overstated
the weakness in the labour market.
Yields on 10-year Treasury notes were back at
3.804%, having been as low as 3.667% at one stage.
Federal Reserve officials did their best to reassure markets
with Fed San Francisco President Mary Daly saying it was
"extremely important" to prevent the labor market tipping into a
downturn.
Daly added that her mind was open to cutting interest rates
as necessary and policy needed to be proactive.
The comments underpinned market expectations that the Fed
would cut by 50 basis points at its September meeting, with
futures implying an 87% chance of such an outsized move.
The market has around 115 basis points of easing priced in
for this year, and a similar amount for 2025.
In precious metals, gold failed to get a safe haven bid amid
talk investors were taking profits to cover losses elsewhere.
Spot gold stood at $2,409 an ounce after losing
1.52% overnight.
In energy markets, oil prices bounced early Tuesday as news
that several U.S. personnel were injured in an attack against a
military base in Iraq stoked fears of a wider conflict.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures CLc1 climbed
$1.18, or 1.6%, to $74.12 per barrel.