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Asia shares upbeat on renewed AI optimism
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Geopolitics loom large, Trump adopts wait-and-see posture
on
Iran
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Dollar gains as traders trim Fed cut expectations
By Rae Wee
SINGAPORE, Jan 16 (Reuters) - Asian stocks advanced on
Friday as the artificial intelligence boom regained momentum,
while the dollar held near a six-week high after upbeat U.S.
economic data left traders trimming bets on rate cuts there.
Oil prices were nursing losses and safe-haven gold and
silver fell after U.S. President Donald Trump adopted a
wait-and-see posture towards the unrest in Iran, having earlier
threatened intervention.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
was up 0.5% and hovered near a record high hit
in the previous session, as stellar results from Taiwanese
chipmaker TSMC breathed new life into the AI trade.
The U.S. and Taiwan also clinched a trade deal on Thursday
that cuts tariffs on many of the semiconductor powerhouse's
exports, directs new investments towards the U.S. technology
industry and risks infuriating China.
Overnight, gains in technology and financial stocks sent
Wall Street higher, with Nasdaq futures up 0.22% in the
Asian session. S&P 500 futures similarly tacked on 0.15%.
"We know there's lingering doubts about the spend around
capex and AI more broadly, and I guess with the TSMC report
yesterday being pretty solid and sounding optimistic, it
certainly provided a much needed shot in the arm for those AI
names which have been struggling on Wall Street in recent
months," said Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG.
"I wouldn't say it galvanised or basically shot them higher,
but it certainly provided some much needed reassurance there,
that everything remains on track."
Japan's Nikkei fell 0.42%, weighed down in part by a
recovery in the yen which has retreated from an 18-month
low.
EUROSTOXX 50 futures fell 0.38% while FTSE futures
eased 0.18%, after European shares scaled a record high
on Thursday.
In currencies, the dollar hovered near a six-week high,
after a slew of upbeat U.S. economic releases including data
that showed the number of Americans filing new applications for
unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week.
The euro languished near a 1-1/2-month low and bought
$1.1606, while sterling slipped 0.06% to $1.3376.
Against a basket of currencies, the dollar stood at
99.36, not far from Thursday's top of 99.493, its highest since
December 2.
"Mounting evidence of stable labour conditions is lowering
the odds of an April cut, as fixed income watchers grow
increasingly confident that the next benchmark drop will come
from Chair Powell's successor in June," said Jose Torres, senior
economist at Interactive Brokers.
Markets are now pricing in a 67% chance that the Federal
Reserve will stand pat on rates in April, up from 37% a month
ago, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Odds for a steady
outcome in June have also risen to 37.5%, compared to 17% last
month.
The yen was 0.1% stronger at 158.48 per dollar,
though it was not too far from an 18-month trough of 159.45 hit
earlier in the week.
The currency has been sold off on the prospect of a snap
election in Japan as early as next month, which investors bet
could pave the way for expanded fiscal stimulus from Prime
Minister Sanae Takaichi.
"For Takaichi, the snap poll offers the chance of a stronger
mandate at home and abroad - but failure would likely spell a
swift end to her premiership," said Daniel Hurley, portfolio
specialist at T. Rowe Price.
In the oil market, prices were recovering from their steep
fall in the previous session after Trump's watered-down comments
on Iran allayed concerns over potential military action against
Tehran and oil supply disruptions.
Brent futures were up 0.11% at $63.83 a barrel,
having tumbled more than 4% in the previous session. U.S. crude
was similarly up 0.2% at $59.31 per barrel, after a 4.6%
fall on Thursday.
Spot gold was down 0.16% at $4,607.50 an ounce.