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Asian stock markets : https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
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Nikkei futures off lows, still point to losses
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Wall St futures rise, Treasuries slip, gold at new record
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Markets hope for compromise in US-China trade war
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World leaders meet in Egypt, bankers in Washington
(Adds Asian stocks start, European futures)
By Wayne Cole
SYDNEY, Oct 13 (Reuters) - Asian stocks got off to a
rocky start on Monday after fresh broadsides in the U.S.-China
trade war spooked markets with already stretched valuations,
though there were signs risk sentiment had steadied with Wall
Street futures bouncing.
A holiday in Japan and the United States made for choppy
early trading and political uncertainty still shrouded Japanese
and European assets.
While U.S. President Donald Trump had threatened 100%
tariffs on China from November 1, he sounded more conciliatory
over the weekend, posting that everything would be fine and the
U.S. didn't want to "hurt" China.
Beijing on Sunday defended its curbs on exports of rare
earth elements and equipment as a response to U.S. aggression,
but stopped short of imposing new levies on U.S. products.
"We expect the ultimate resolution will be an extension of
the current tariff pause past November 10 along with some new
but limited concessions from both sides," wrote Jan Hatzius,
chief economist at Goldman Sachs ( GS ) in a note.
"However, the recent policy moves suggest a wider range of
outcomes than was the case ahead of prior U.S.-China talks, with
the possibility of greater concessions but also a risk of
substantial new export restrictions and higher tariffs, at least
temporarily."
Many world leaders, including Trump, are due to meeting in
Egypt on Monday to discuss ceasefire plans for Gaza.
Japanese markets had their own problems with the ascension
of new LDP leader Sanae Takaichi to prime minister now in doubt,
contributing to a sharp rebound in the yen and a 5% dive in
Nikkei futures on Friday.
The Nikkei was closed on Monday. Futures were
trading up 1.3% at 46,690 but that was still far below the cash
close of 48,088.
Shares in South Korea slid 2.1%, while Australia
lost 0.5%. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares
outside Japan dropped 0.6%.
EARNINGS, FED LOOM LARGE
Wall Street was trying to make a comeback with S&P 500
futures rallying 1.1%, while Nasdaq futures jumped
1.6%.
Earnings season kicks off this week with major banks
reporting, including JPMorgan ( JPM ), Goldman Sachs ( GS ),
Wells Fargo ( WFC ) and Citigroup ( C/PN ).
S&P 500 companies overall are expected to have increased
earnings by 8.8% in the third quarter from a year earlier,
according to LSEG IBES, and strong results will be needed to
justify the market's high valuations.
Politics also cast a cloud over Europe as the French
presidency announced Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu's new
cabinet line-up on Sunday, reappointing Roland Lescure, a close
ally of Emmanuel Macron, as finance minister.
Lecornu's last government lasted just 14 hours, and he still
faces a tough task to steer a budget for 2026 through a deeply
divided parliament.
EUROSTOXX 50 futures edged up 0.2%, while DAX
futures firmed 0.4% and FTSE futures were flat.
Currency markets saw some stabilisation after Friday's rush
into the traditional safe havens of the Japanese yen and Swiss
franc. The dollar gained 0.5% to 151.98 yen, having
slid 1.2% on Friday from a top of 153.29.
The euro was flat at $1.1607, while the dollar
nudged up 0.2% on the Swiss franc to 0.8010. The dollar
index was steady at 99.015, after losing 0.6% on Friday.
In bond markets, cash Treasuries were closed for a holiday
but futures slipped 5 ticks as sentiment steadied.
Yields had hit multi-week lows in the wake of Trump's tariff
threat, while investors had added to wagers on more rate cuts
from the Federal Reserve.
Futures implied around a 98% chance of a quarter-point cut
from the Fed later this month, and a similar probability of
another move in December.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell has a chance to offer his guidance
when he speaks on the economic outlook at the NABE annual
meeting on Tuesday.
A host of other Fed members are appearing this week, along
with a who's who of central bankers attending an IMF-World Bank
meeting in Washington.
In commodity markets, gold remained in high demand as a
hedge against fiscal and political uncertainty, rising 0.5% to
$4,037 an ounce and pipping last week's record to touch
$4,059.
Oil prices also regained some ground on hopes the U.S. and
China would find some compromise on trade to avoid fresh
tariffs.
Brent bounced 1.0% to $63.36 a barrel, while U.S.
crude rose 1.0% to $59.45 per barrel.