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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares rise as Fed looms large; yen crumbles below key level
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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares rise as Fed looms large; yen crumbles below key level
Apr 28, 2024 7:51 PM

SINGAPORE, April 29 (Reuters) - Asian stocks got off to

a positive start on Monday ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy

meeting later in the week, while the dollar broke past the

psychologically key level of 160 yen for the first time in

decades.

Oil prices ticked down on expectations that

higher-for-longer U.S. interest rates would dampen demand, while

news of a potential Gaza ceasefire eased fears of supply

constraints.

The dollar touched a high of 160.245 yen - its strongest

level in 34 years - in a sudden but brief surge during Asia

hours. It was last 0.5% higher at 159.14 yen.

Some analysts attributed the move to thinned liquidity with

Japan out for a holiday on Monday, and as traders looked to test

the resolve of Japanese authorities in defending the yen.

Despite the yen's continuous slide towards fresh

multi-decade lows, Tokyo has so far resisted intervening in the

currency market, even as officials ramp up their warnings

against excessive yen moves.

"Markets are testing the upside," said Christopher Wong, a

currency strategist at OCBC, of the dollar/yen currency pair.

The BOJ had on Friday kept interest rates around zero at the

conclusion of its monetary policy meeting and ruled out shifting

to a full-fledged reduction in the BOJ's bond purchases,

striking a more dovish tone than some had expected.

That, and bets the Fed is likely to delay the start of

its rate-cutting cycle, provided fresh impetus to yen bears.

In the broader market, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific

shares outside Japan tacked on 0.56%, helped by

Wall Street's positive lead on Friday owing to a rally in

megacap growth stocks.

The upbeat sentiment spilled over into the new week, with

Nasdaq futures and S&P 500 futures each rising 0.2%.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index similarly advanced 0.77%,

while China's blue-chip index edged 0.06% higher.

The Fed's two-day monetary policy meeting beginning Tuesday

takes centre stage for the week, where expectations are for the

central bank to keep rates on hold.

Focus, however, will be on any guidance for the central

bank's rate outlook, after repeated runs of

stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data and still-sticky

inflationary pressures derailed market bets on how soon the Fed

could commence its rate easing cycle.

Market pricing shows a first Fed rate cut is expected in

September, from a June start only a few weeks ago, with just

over 30 basis points worth of easing expected this year.

"We've seen quite a significant repricing of rate

expectations in the U.S., and that's kind of a benchmark for

global interest rates," said Jarrod Kerr, chief economist at

Kiwibank.

"I think the Fed this week will kind of echo those comments

that rate cuts aren't as close as they had hoped."

The prospect that U.S. rates would remain in restrictive

territory for longer have propped up the greenback, though it

was broadly on the back foot on Monday, edging lower against

most currencies apart from the yen.

Against the dollar, the euro rose 0.21% to

$1.0715, while sterling gained 0.23% to $1.2522.

The dollar index was little changed at 105.98, though

was headed for a monthly gain of 1.4%.

In commodities, Brent fell more than 1% to $88.55 a

barrel, while U.S. crude similarly eased 1% to $83.02 per

barrel.

Both are up about 15% for the year, in part due to supply

disruption fears amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the

Middle East.

A Hamas delegation will visit Cairo on Monday for talks

aimed at securing a ceasefire, a Hamas official told Reuters on

Sunday, as mediators stepped up efforts to reach a deal ahead of

an expected Israeli assault on the southern city of Rafah.

Gold dipped 0.34% to $2,329.37 an ounce.

(Editing by Shri Navaratnam)

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