SINGAPORE, April 29 (Reuters) - Asian stocks got off to
a positive start on Monday ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy
meeting later in the week, while the dollar broke past the
psychologically key level of 160 yen for the first time in
decades.
Oil prices ticked down on expectations that
higher-for-longer U.S. interest rates would dampen demand, while
news of a potential Gaza ceasefire eased fears of supply
constraints.
The dollar touched a high of 160.245 yen - its strongest
level in 34 years - in a sudden but brief surge during Asia
hours. It was last 0.5% higher at 159.14 yen.
Some analysts attributed the move to thinned liquidity with
Japan out for a holiday on Monday, and as traders looked to test
the resolve of Japanese authorities in defending the yen.
Despite the yen's continuous slide towards fresh
multi-decade lows, Tokyo has so far resisted intervening in the
currency market, even as officials ramp up their warnings
against excessive yen moves.
"Markets are testing the upside," said Christopher Wong, a
currency strategist at OCBC, of the dollar/yen currency pair.
The BOJ had on Friday kept interest rates around zero at the
conclusion of its monetary policy meeting and ruled out shifting
to a full-fledged reduction in the BOJ's bond purchases,
striking a more dovish tone than some had expected.
That, and bets the Fed is likely to delay the start of
its rate-cutting cycle, provided fresh impetus to yen bears.
In the broader market, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific
shares outside Japan tacked on 0.56%, helped by
Wall Street's positive lead on Friday owing to a rally in
megacap growth stocks.
The upbeat sentiment spilled over into the new week, with
Nasdaq futures and S&P 500 futures each rising 0.2%.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index similarly advanced 0.77%,
while China's blue-chip index edged 0.06% higher.
The Fed's two-day monetary policy meeting beginning Tuesday
takes centre stage for the week, where expectations are for the
central bank to keep rates on hold.
Focus, however, will be on any guidance for the central
bank's rate outlook, after repeated runs of
stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data and still-sticky
inflationary pressures derailed market bets on how soon the Fed
could commence its rate easing cycle.
Market pricing shows a first Fed rate cut is expected in
September, from a June start only a few weeks ago, with just
over 30 basis points worth of easing expected this year.
"We've seen quite a significant repricing of rate
expectations in the U.S., and that's kind of a benchmark for
global interest rates," said Jarrod Kerr, chief economist at
Kiwibank.
"I think the Fed this week will kind of echo those comments
that rate cuts aren't as close as they had hoped."
The prospect that U.S. rates would remain in restrictive
territory for longer have propped up the greenback, though it
was broadly on the back foot on Monday, edging lower against
most currencies apart from the yen.
Against the dollar, the euro rose 0.21% to
$1.0715, while sterling gained 0.23% to $1.2522.
The dollar index was little changed at 105.98, though
was headed for a monthly gain of 1.4%.
In commodities, Brent fell more than 1% to $88.55 a
barrel, while U.S. crude similarly eased 1% to $83.02 per
barrel.
Both are up about 15% for the year, in part due to supply
disruption fears amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the
Middle East.
A Hamas delegation will visit Cairo on Monday for talks
aimed at securing a ceasefire, a Hamas official told Reuters on
Sunday, as mediators stepped up efforts to reach a deal ahead of
an expected Israeli assault on the southern city of Rafah.
Gold dipped 0.34% to $2,329.37 an ounce.
(Editing by Shri Navaratnam)