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Asian stock markets : https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
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S&P 500 futures, Nikkei slip in early trade
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China retail sales miss forecasts, factory output beats
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Treasuries, dollar smart at Moody's downgrade
(Adds China data, EU election news)
By Wayne Cole
SYDNEY, May 19 (Reuters) - Asian shares slipped on
Monday as a mixed bag of Chinese economic data showed the
domestic economy was struggling even as U.S. tariffs began to
bite into exports, while the White House kept up its rhetorical
pressure on trade partners.
Wall Street share futures also slipped with the dollar,
while Treasury yields rose as concerns about erratic U.S.
economic policies were underlined by Moody's downgrade of the
country's credit rating.
Unease over the United States' $36 trillion of debt has also
mounted as Republicans seek to approve a sweeping package of tax
cuts, which some estimate could add $3 trillion to $5 trillion
in new debt over the next decade.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent used television
interviews on Sunday to dismiss the downgrade, while warning
trade partners they would be hit with maximum tariffs if they
did not offer deals in "good faith".
Bessent is off to a G7 meeting this week for more talks,
while U.S. Vice President JD Vance and European Commission
President Ursula von der Leyen met on Sunday to discuss trade.
"It remains to be seen whether the 10% reciprocal rate -
excluding Canada and Mexico - will broadly remain, or will go up
or down for some countries," said JPMorgan economist Michael
Feroli, who estimates the current effective tariff of around 13%
was equal to a tax rise worth 1.2% of GDP.
"Beyond disruptions from higher tariffs themselves, policy
uncertainty should additionally weigh on growth."
The tariff war has weighed heavily on consumer sentiment and
analysts will be scouring earnings from Home Depot ( HD ) and
Target ( TGT ) this week for an update on spending trends.
In markets, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares
outside Japan eased 0.2%, with Japan's Nikkei
down 0.6%.
Chinese blue chips eased 0.4% as retail sales
missed forecasts for April, while industrial output slowed but
not by as much as feared.
EUROSTOXX 50 futures added 0.1%, while FTSE futures
eased 0.1% and DAX futures were flat.
DOLLAR DOUBTS
S&P 500 futures lost 0.8% and Nasdaq futures
1.1%, though that followed major rallies last week in the wake
of President Donald's Trump decision to lower levies on China.
Yields on 10-year Treasuries rose another 5
basis points to 4.49%, extending Friday's reversal on the
Moody's news.
Markets are still pricing in only 53 basis points of Federal
Reserve rate cuts this year, compared to more than 100 basis
points a month ago. Futures imply just a 33% chance of a move by
July, rising to 72% by September.
A host of Fed speakers are on the diary this week, including
influential New York Fed President John Williams and Vice Chair
Philip Jefferson later on Monday. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is
also due to speak on Sunday.
The Reserve Bank of Australia is widely expected to cut its
rates at a meeting on Tuesday, while likely signalling it is
still cautious about easing too far.
Higher yields offered little comfort to the dollar, which
was drifting lower amid investor unease with the volatility of
U.S. trade policy. The euro edged up 0.1% to $1.1180,
while the dollar slipped 0.3% to 145.19 yen.
In an interview published over the weekend, European Central
Bank President Christine Lagarde said the dollar's recent
decline reflected a loss of confidence in U.S. policies and this
could benefit the euro currency.
Sentiment on the euro was aided by a surprise victory for
the centrist candidate in Romania's presidential election over a
far right anti-EU opponent. Centrist candidates also fared well
in elections in Poland and Portugal.
In commodity markets, gold was on the rise again after
shedding almost 4% last week. The metal was trading 0.6% firmer
at $3,222 an ounce.
Oil prices struggled on concerns about the risk of increased
output from OPEC and Iran.
Brent inched down 19 cents to $65.22 a barrel, while
U.S. crude eased 15 cents to $62.34 per barrel.