* Oil volatile as Hormuz shipping plans lack detail
* Host of central bank meetings seen warning on inflation
* Nikkei slips, Wall St eyes Nvidia ( NVDA ) conference on AI
* Dollar off highs, still near major chart levels
By Wayne Cole
SYDNEY, March 16 (Reuters) - Asian markets were in a
wary mood on Monday as hostilities in the Gulf kept oil prices
elevated, complicating an inflation outlook that should keep
most central banks on pause at policy meetings this week,
barring one possible hike.
In a possible hint of hope, the Wall Street Journal reported
the Trump administration plans to announce as early as this week
that multiple countries have agreed to form a coalition to
escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz.
President Donald Trump told the Financial Times it would be
very bad for the future of NATO if the allies did not help.
European Union foreign ministers will discuss on Monday
bolstering a small naval mission in the Middle East, though any
operation in the Strait would be fraught with risk.
Oil markets were cautious as Brent rose 0.1% to $103.27 a
barrel, while U.S. crude fell 0.7% to $97.99.
Policymakers in the U.S., UK, Europe, Japan, Australia,
Canada, Switzerland and Sweden hold their first full meetings
since the start of the war, with energy prices looming over all
of them.
"Central bank forecasts will immediately bias towards higher
inflation and lower growth," said Bruce Kasman, chief economist
at JPMorgan. "Consistent with this view, we have pushed back or
removed action for most central banks that were expected to move
in March and April."
"Developments on the ground highlight the potential for
further price increases and the likelihood that the risk premium
will remain elevated."
Japan's Nikkei dipped 0.1%, while South Korean
stocks added 0.9% after both lost ground last week.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
edged up 0.1%.
Regionally, the focus will be on Chinese economic data out
on Monday with retail sales seen picking up in February after a
dismal start to the year, while growth in industrial output is
forecast to stay around 5%.
Top U.S. and Chinese officials are also meeting in Paris to
discuss potential deals in agriculture, critical minerals and
managed trade for U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese
President Xi Jinping to consider in Beijing.
ALL THE CENTRAL BANKS
S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures bounced
0.4% in choppy trading. While earnings season is over, concerns
about AI will be front and centre as Nvidia ( NVDA ) hosts its
GTC conference at Silicon Valley this week, where it is expected
to show off the latest advances in chips and AI infrastructure.
The coming energy shock, combined with pressure on fiscal
budgets from higher defence spending, saw bond yields globally
suffer double-digit increases last week.
Ten-year Treasury yields were at 4.26%, having
climbed 32 basis points since the war began, while futures have
sharply scaled back the scope for future rate cuts.
The Federal Reserve is considered certain to hold on
Wednesday and the chance of an easing by June has come down to
just 26%, from 69% a month earlier.
Investor attention will be on the tone of the statement and
media conference, and whether the median "dot plot" projections
from policymakers remove any further easing for this year.
A cautiously steady outcome is expected at all the other
central bank meetings, bar the Reserve Bank of Australia which
is seen likely to hike its cash rate a quarter point to 4.1% as
it battles resurgent inflation at home.
The heightened volatility in markets has tended to benefit
the U.S. dollar as a store of liquidity. The United States is
also a net energy exporter, giving it a relative advantage over
Europe and much of Asia which are net importers.
The dollar was trading a touch lower early Monday, partly in
reaction to the report that shipping might be escorted through
the Strait of Hormuz.
The dollar eased to 159.47 yen, just off a
20-month top of 159.75, with investors wary in case a break of
160.00 triggers more warnings of intervention from Japan.
The euro was stuck near a seven-month low at $1.1440
, threatening a breach of major chart support at
$1.1392 that could unleash a retreat toward $1.1065.
In commodity markets, gold was little changed at $5,022 an
ounce, having so far gotten scant support as a safe haven
or as a hedge against inflation risks.