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Asian stock markets : https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
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Nikkei futures, yen steady after Japan elections
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Wall St futures firm before earnings blitz
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Euro underpinned as ECB seen on hold
(Adds China, European stocks)
By Wayne Cole
SYDNEY, July 21 (Reuters) - Asian shares and the yen
held their ground on Monday as Japanese elections proved bad
for the government but no worse than already priced in, while
Wall Street futures braced for earnings from the first of the
tech giants.
Investors were also hoping for some progress in trade talks
ahead of President Donald Trump's August 1 tariff deadline, with
U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick still confident a deal
could be reached with the European Union.
There were reports Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping were
closer to arranging a meeting, though likely not until October
at the earliest. European Commission President Ursula von der
Leyen has stolen a march and will meet with Xi on Thursday.
In Japan, the ruling coalition lost control of the upper
house in an election on Sunday, further weakening Prime Minister
Shigeru Ishiba's grip on power as a tariff deadline looms.
Ishiba expressed his intention to stay in the position,
which along with a market holiday, limited the reaction and the
yen was 0.4% firmer at 148.29 to the dollar.
"Ishiba will try to govern with support from some within the
opposition, but this likely means a looser fiscal policy and is
not good news for bond yields," said Rodrigo Catril, a senior FX
strategist at NAB.
"History also suggests that domestic political uncertainty
tends to keep the BOJ on the sidelines, so the prospect of rate
hikes is now set to be delayed for a little bit longer."
The Bank of Japan still has a bias to raise rates further
but markets are pricing little chance of a move until the end of
October.
While the Nikkei was shut, futures traded at 39,820
and in line with the cash close of 39,819.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
eased 0.1%, while South Korean stocks
added 0.5%.
Chinese blue chips firmed 0.3% as Beijing kept
interest rates unchanged as widely expected.
MEGA CAPS KICK OFF
EUROSTOXX 50 futures and DAX futures both
dipped 0.3%, while FTSE futures lost 0.1%.
S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures both edged
up 0.1%, and are already around record highs in anticipation of
more solid earnings reports.
A host of companies reporting this week include Alphabet
and Tesla, along with IBM ( IBM ).
Investors also expect upbeat news for defence groups RTX
, Lockheed Martin ( LMT ) and General Dynamics ( GD ).
Ramped up government spending across the globe has seen the S&P
500 aerospace and defence sector rise 30% this year.
In bond markets, U.S. Treasury futures held steady
having dipped late last week after Federal Reserve Governor
Christopher Waller repeated his call for a rate cut this month.
Most of his colleagues, including Chair Jerome Powell, have
argued a pause is warranted to judge the true inflationary
impact of tariffs and markets imply almost no chance of a move
in July. A September cut is put at 61%, rising to 80% for
October.
Powell's reticence on rates has drawn the ire of Trump who
threatened to fire the Fed chief, before backing down. The
spectre of a potential political appointee who would seek to
ease policy sharply has investors on edge.
The European Central Bank meets this week and is expected to
hold its rates steady at 2.0% following a string of cuts.
"The press conference will likely keep highlighting
uncertainty and need to wait for tariff negotiations to conclude
before deciding the next step," said analysts at TD Securities
in a note. "Similarly, its 'meeting-by-meeting' language would
be retained in the release."
The euro was unchanged at $1.1622 in early
trading, having dipped 0.5% last week and away from its recent
near-four-year top of $1.1830. The dollar index was a fraction
firmer at 98.465.
In commodity markets, gold was little changed at $3,348 an
ounce with all the recent action in platinum which
last week hit its highest since August 2014.
Oil prices were caught between the prospect of increased
supply from OPEC+ and the risk European Union sanctions against
Russia for its war in Ukraine could curb its exports.
Brent edged up 0.1% to $69.36 a barrel, while U.S.
crude added 0.2% to $67.45 per barrel.
(Editing by Sam Holmes and Shri Navaratnam)