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Fed's Powell hints 25 bps cut may be last of 2025
BOJ expected to leave rates on hold for now
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ECB also seen standing pat
Trump and Xi meeting in South Korea, de-escalation expected
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U.S. tech sector earnings weigh on stocks
(Updates markets, Trump-Xi meeting, new quote, Samsung
earnings)
By Gregor Stuart Hunter
SINGAPORE, Oct 30 (Reuters) - Asian stocks advanced in
morning trading on Thursday after the Federal Reserve cut
interest rates and U.S. and Chinese leaders met to thrash out a
trade deal, with the Bank of Japan also due to decide on
interest rates imminently.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
was last up 0.5%, while U.S. S&P 500 e-mini
futures moved 0.4% higher after stocks on Wall Street
posted a slim loss to snap a four-day winning streak.
Global markets are in the midst of a string of central bank
decisions that will give clues about the path ahead for interest
rates as the Trump administration imposes blanket tariffs on
foreign imports.
"There's a stack to digest, and the Bank of Japan decision
shouldn't be forgotten as something that could rock the region
should they say or do something hawkish today," said Kyle Rodda,
senior market analyst at Capital.com in Melbourne.
"The U.S.-China trade deal could reignite animal spirits
although I suspect that with the rally we've had this week on
Wall Street, and the boost that's given the Asian region, a lot
of the good news is priced in."
U.S. President Donald Trump is currently meeting Chinese
leader Xi Jinping in South Korea. U.S. negotiators have
signalled they seek a return to a fragile trade war truce, but
tensions remain high and longer-term economic irritants will
likely persist between the geopolitical rivals.
"After a fair bit of action in the first couple days of this
week, we'll probably finish the central banking story with a bit
of a whimper in the next 24 hours, with probably not much
happening either from the BOJ or the ECB," said Sally Auld,
chief economist at National Australia Bank in Sydney in a
podcast.
The Nikkei 225 fluctuated between gains and losses
and was last 0.1% higher ahead of a decision from the Bank of
Japan on Thursday at which the central bank is widely expected
to keep interest rates steady.
Against the yen, the U.S. dollar was last 0.2% weaker
at 152.455 yen after remarks by U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott
Bessent calling for speedier rate hikes to avoid weakening the
currency too much, which analysts said may affect the BOJ's
communication on the future pace of rate hikes.
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates on Wednesday by a
quarter of a percentage point as expected, but the U.S. central
bank's new policy statement included several references to the
lack of official data during the ongoing federal government
shutdown, and Fed Chair Jerome Powell told reporters later that
policymakers are likely to become more cautious if it deprives
them of further job and inflation reports.
Traders have slashed their forecasts of a 25-basis-point
rate cut next month, which had been viewed as a near-certainty
earlier. Fed funds futures now imply a 67.8% probability that
the Fed will hold rates at its next meeting on December 10,
compared with a 9.1% chance on Wednesday, according to the CME
Group's FedWatch tool.
The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond was
last trading around a three-week high of 4.068%, up 1 basis
point compared with a previous close of 4.058%.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback's
strength against a basket of six currencies, edged back from a
two-week high, down 0.1% at 99.032. Gold was last up 0.2%
at $3,937.19 per ounce.
The euro was last 0.1% firmer at $1.1617 ahead of a
policy decision by the European Central Bank later in the day at
which it is expected to leave rates on hold for a third meeting
in a row.
Elsewhere, the KOSPI index jumped 1.1% after Trump
and South Korean President Lee Jae Myung finalised details of
their trade deal.
Shares in Samsung Electronics ( SSNLF ) surged 4.3% after
it reported on Thursday a 32% rise in third-quarter operating
profit.
Corporate earnings season is fuelling fresh anxiety among
investors over the cost of the AI buildout, even as the U.S.
economy appears to remain in rude health, putting pressure on
tech megacap stocks that account for the biggest weighting in
the S&P 500 Index.
Meta on Wednesday forecast "notably larger" capital
expenses next year as its revenues beat market estimates, while
Microsoft's ( MSFT ) spending on artificial intelligence
infrastructure soared to a record of nearly $35 billion in the
September quarter. Shares of both companies slumped.
However, rival tech giant and Google parent Alphabet
bucked the trend, with shares rising in after-hours
trading after it beat revenue expectations.
In energy markets, Brent crude was last down 0.5% at
$64.62 per barrel.