SINGAPORE, May 31 (Reuters) - Asian stocks rose on
Friday and were poised for the fourth month of gains, while the
dollar drifted lower, keeping the yen steady as investors await
inflation readings from Europe and the U.S. that will likely
dictate the path of interest rates globally.
A downward revision to consumer spending meant the U.S.
economy grew more slowly than expected in the first quarter,
data showed on Thursday, weighing on Treasury yields and the
dollar.
The economic data also stoked expectations that the Federal
Reserve has scope to cut rates this year, with market pricing
putting a September cut at a coin toss, CME FedWatch tool
showed. For the year, traders are pricing in 35 basis points of
easing.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
rose 0.55%, pushing away from the three-week low
hit on Thursday. The index is set for a 1.4% decline for the
week but is up 2.7% in May, rising for the fourth straight
month.
Japan's Nikkei was up 0.20% and is flat for the
month. China stocks also rose, with the blue-chip index
up 0.23% while Hong Kong's Hang Seng index spiking
1.3% higher.
The upturn in China's markets came even as the nation's
manufacturing activity unexpectedly fell in May, an official
factory survey showed on Friday. The soft outcome kept alive
calls for fresh stimulus as a protracted property crisis
continues to weigh on businesses, consumers and investors.
Financial markets have been biding their time for the main
data event of the week - Friday's April report on U.S. core
personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, which is
the Fed's preferred inflation gauge.
Tony Sycamore, market analyst at IG, said the market is
taking a more cautious approach to the European and U.S. PCE
inflation data after upside surprises in Australia and German
inflation reports earlier this week.
Federal Reserve policymakers continue to expect inflation to
fall this year even as the labour market stays strong, leaving
them in no hurry to cut the policy rate from the 5.25%-5.5%
range they have kept it in since last July.
Elsewhere, traders are also warily looking over their
shoulders for any hints of intervention from the Tokyo
authorities as the Japanese yen flirts with levels
that led to suspected bouts of intervention late in April and
early this month.
The yen was last at 156.74 per dollar, having touched
four-week lows of 157.715 on Wednesday. The currency weakened to
its lowest in 34 years at 160.245 on April 29, sparking at least
two suspected rounds of interventions.
The Japanese authorities have been relatively restrained in
their recent verbal warnings, possibly waiting for weaker U.S.
economic data and a shift in Fed policy to support the yen,
according to Charu Chanana, head of currency strategy at Saxo.
But with the Fed looking likely to cut rates only towards
the end of the year, the frail yen has been caught in the
crosshairs of the vast gap between U.S. and Japan yields, with
traders using the yen to fund their investments in higher
yielding currencies.
Data on Friday showed core consumer prices in Japan's
capital rose 1.9% in May on rising electricity bills but price
growth excluding the effect of fuel eased, heightening
uncertainty on the timing of the central bank's next interest
rate hike.
"Even if the BOJ raises rates in June or July, the increase
is expected to be minimal and unlikely to significantly close
the gap with US interest rates," Chanana said, noting that
movements in dollar/yen towards the 155 level could attract more
carry trade interest.
The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency
against six rivals, was at 104.77, on course for 1.5% decline in
May, snapping a four-month winning streak.
The euro last fetched $1.0828 ahead of inflation
report from euro zone that is set to influence the European
Central Bank's policy path. The central bank is all but certain
to cut rates in June but what comes after that remains
uncertain.
Markets are pricing 60 basis points of ECB cuts this year.
In commodities, oil prices eased after a surprise build in
U.S. gasoline stocks weighed on the market. Brent
futures was down 0.31% at $81.61 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas
Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 was down 0.36% at $77.63.
Gold prices rose 0.12% to $2,345.93, on course for over 2%
gain in May.
(Editing by Shri Navaratnam)