* Equities catch breath on Friday after recouping March
losses
* Dollar near six-week lows as demand for safe havens
recedes
* US, Iran may meet at weekend; Strait of Hormuz remains
closed
(Updates to Asia afternoon)
By Ankur Banerjee
SINGAPORE, April 17 (Reuters) - Asian stocks headed for
a second week of strong gains while oil prices were pinned below
$100 a barrel with investors dialling back risk ahead of a
crucial weekend that could pave the way for a near-term
resolution to the Middle East war.
A 10-day ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel went into
effect on Thursday and President Donald Trump said the next
meeting between the U.S. and Iran may take place over the
weekend, when their current ceasefire is due to expire.
Investors have been quick to take an optimistic view on any
signs of denouement this month, even though the Strait of Hormuz
- through which a fifth of the world's oil and gas supply
typically flows - remains closed.
That has kept oil prices below $100 per barrel though they
remain well above the pre-war levels. Brent crude futures
dropped more than 1% to $98.14 a barrel. U.S. West Texas
Intermediate crude futures fell 1.6% to $93.15 a barrel.
In stocks, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares
outside Japan was down 0.8% as investors locked
in profits after a blistering rally this month.
The index remains close to its highest since March 2, the
first trading day after the Iran war broke out, and is up 14.5%
in April after dropping 13.5% last month.
Japan's Nikkei slipped 1% after hitting a record
high on Thursday. Almost all stock markets are back to levels
before the war erupted at the end of February.
For Andrew Chorlton, CIO for public fixed income at M&G, the
last two weeks have been surprising in how quickly markets have
been willing to look through the conflict and energy shock.
"There's quite a strong contrast between what policymakers
and central bankers are saying about the risks that this
(conflict) is creating versus what the market is implying," he
said.
"That seems somewhat complacent," Chorlton added. "It seems
unlikely that there shouldn't be some additional risk premium
priced in, either to growth or to inflation."
The U.S. dollar benefited from safe-haven flows in March,
but has since given up those gains. The euro last bought
$1.1779, just below the seven-week high it touched in the
previous session.
The U.S. benchmark S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq
rose modestly to record closing highs for a second
straight day on Thursday. U.S. futures were little
changed in Asian hours while European futures pointed
to a subdued open.
"I think equity markets are remaining positive and some
solid U.S. earnings have helped, but - and it's a big but - we
need to see some concrete evidence that peace is going to last,"
said Nick Twidale, chief market strategist at ATFX Global.
"And to me, that is a full reopening of the Strait, or we
could see some substantial corrections in global stocks in the
coming days and weeks."
Closure of the waterway has caused the worst oil price shock
in history, and spurred the International Monetary Fund to
downgrade its outlook for the global economy, warning that a
prolonged conflict could push the world to the brink of
recession.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback
against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro,
was at 98.24, loitering near its lowest since March 2. The index
had declined for eight straight sessions through Wednesday.
The risk-sensitive Australian dollar fetched $0.7163,
drifting near the four-year high it touched on Thursday.
The yen was slightly weaker at 159.40 per dollar as
investors took stock of comments from Bank of Japan Governor
Kazuo Ueda, who steered clear of signalling a rate hike was on
the cards this month.
The remarks will keep traders guessing on the timing of the
next rate hike, with the lack of a clear signal leading markets
to reduce bets of a rate increase at the BOJ's April 27-28
policy meeting.