SINGAPORE, May 10 (Reuters) - Asian stocks rose on
Friday, on course for a third week of gains, while the dollar
was on the back foot as fresh signs of an easing U.S. labour
market stoked optimism around interest rate cuts this year ahead
of next week's crucial inflation data.
Sterling was steady at $1.2515, having touched over
two-week low of $1.2446 on Thursday after Bank of England (BoE)
paved the way for the start of rate cuts as soon as next month.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
rose 0.66% and was on course for a nearly 1%
gain for the week, its third straight week of gains. Japan's
Nikkei was 1.6% higher.
China stocks also gained, with blue-chip shares
0.14% higher, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose
1.4%, having touched an eight month high in early trading.
Data on Thursday showed U.S. initial claims for state
unemployment benefits increased more than expected by 22,000 to
a seasonally adjusted 231,000 for the week ended May 4, the
Labor Department said.
The figures follow last week's report showing U.S. job
growth slowed more than expected in April and the increase in
annual wages fell below 4.0% for the first time in nearly three
years.
"After a period of remarkable strength and resilience, signs
are growing that the U.S. labour market may be starting to
soften," said Ryan Brandham, head of global capital markets,
North America at Validus Risk Management.
Brandham said the softer labour market should help the Fed
in the fight against inflation, even if the central bank is
hoping to tame prices without materially impacting the labour
market.
Markets will be closely watching April U.S. producer price
index (PPI) and the consumer price index (CPI) out next week for
signs that inflation has resumed its downward trend towards the
Fed's 2% target rate.
Hotter-than-expected inflation reports last month knocked
back any lingering expectations of interest rate cuts in the
near term, with markets now fully pricing in a 25-basis-point
rate cut only in November though there remains a chance of a cut
in September.
Traders now anticipate 47 bps of cuts this year from the
Fed, drastically lower than the 150 bps they priced in at the
start of 2024.
The shifting expectations around U.S. rates have kept the
dollar adrift, with the euro holding to its 0.3%
overnight gains and last at $1.0778. The single currency was on
track for its fourth straight week of gains on the dollar.
The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency
versus six peers, was little changed at 105.24.
BOE Governor Andrew Bailey said there could be more
reductions than investors expect, with central bank's move was
the latest sign of the growing divergence between Europe and
U.S. rate outlook, with interest rates expected to fall earlier
and further across Europe than in the United States.
Markets now imply a 50-50 chance of a BoE cut in June and
are almost fully priced for August. They also imply an 88%
chance the European Central Bank will ease in June.
The yen remains in the spotlight after last week's
suspected rounds of interventions from Japanese authorities. It
was last at 155.51 per dollar, with Japan's Finance Minister
Shunichi Suzuki repeating Tokyo's recent warnings that it was
ready to take action against disorderly currency moves.
Data from Bank of Japan suggests Tokyo spent nearly $60
billion last week in suspected interventions to pull the yen off
its 34-year lows of 106.245 per dollar. However, with the yen
nudging its way up to the 155 levels, traders are once again on
intervention alert.
Ben Bennett, Asia-Pacific investment strategist at Legal And
General Investment Management, said the Ministry of Finance
wants to avoid spikes in volatility which could negatively
impact domestic financial markets.
"So like we suspect a few days ago, they will intervene if
intraday moves become too large. But I don't think they'll push
against a steady depreciation, like we've seen since."
In commodities, oil prices were on the rise, with U.S. crude
up 0.63% to $79.76 per barrel and Brent at
$84.33, up 0.54% on the day.
Spot gold added 0.3% to $2,352.92 an ounce.