* South Korean stocks rally, Wall St futures firm
* China trade figures strong, offsets domestic demand
* Iran and Israel put attacks on hold, for now
* Bonds on defensive as markets brace for rate hikes
(Updates prices to Asia afternoon)
By Wayne Cole
SYDNEY, June 9 (Reuters) - Asian stock markets rallied on
Tuesday and oil prices fell back after Israel and Iran said they
would halt attacks on each other for now, while ever-hopeful
investors bought the latest dip in semiconductor stocks.
Analysts cautioned the bounce was narrowly based with 60%
of the S&P 500 finishing in the red overnight even as the
overall index edged up. Share futures for Wall Street did edge
up in early trade, but European futures slipped.
Higher bond yields continued to test stretched equity
valuations, with shipping through the Strait of Hormuz still
badly restricted.
"Inflation remains sticky enough that 46 of 68 global
central banks are overshooting targets, which helps explain why
bond markets are repricing for tighter policy, and why
long-duration assets, private credit, and several EM currencies
are struggling," analysts at BofA said in a note.
"Our Global Breadth Rule shows nearly half of equity markets
already overbought, led by Korea, Taiwan and Finland."
South Korea's share market rebounded 7%, having sunk
more than 8% on Monday after a run of spectacular gains left
valuations stretched and retail investors with extended margin
positions.
Japan's Nikkei firmed 2.1%, after losing 3.9% the
previous session, while MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific
shares outside Japan rose 3.0%.
Chinese blue chips added 0.9% as trade data showed
exports rose 19% in May and imports climbed 27%, with both
beating median forecasts. The strength shows China's success in
finding new markets in the face of U.S. tariffs and other trade
hurdles, even as domestic demand struggles.
For Europe, EUROSTOXX 50 futures and DAX futures
both fell 0.2%, while FTSE futures dipped 0.1%.
S&P 500 futures added 0.2% and Nasdaq futures
rose 0.5%. The next big test for tech will be results from
Oracle on Wednesday.
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Apple ( AAPL ) shares failed to get any initial boost from a
long-delayed AI overhaul of Siri, unveiled at its annual
Worldwide Developers Conference.
ChatGPT-maker OpenAI confidentially filed for a U.S. initial
public offering on Monday, joining rival Anthropic in a
trillion-dollar rush for equity financing.
Bond markets continued to struggle as the strong May U.S.
payrolls report pushed investors to price in more risk of rate
hikes from the Federal Reserve. Data on U.S. consumer prices due
Wednesday are expected to show surging energy costs kept pushing
headline inflation higher in May.
Futures imply around a 60% chance of a Fed rate rise as soon
as October, and a quarter-point move is almost fully priced for
December.
Two-year Treasury yields stood at 4.170%, having
hit their highest since early 2025 at 4.201% overnight.
Markets are also fully priced for a quarter-point hike to
2.25% from the European Central Bank when it meets on Thursday,
and see the key rate at 2.5% or 2.75% by year-end.
The surprising strength of U.S. employment kept the dollar
underpinned at 160.20 yen, just off an overnight top at
160.395. The next bull target is a 160.725 peak from April,
though investors are wary a break could draw renewed
intervention from Japanese authorities.
The euro hovered at $1.1538, after hitting a
nine-week low at $1.1500 overnight, while the pound edged
up off a three-week trough to $1.3347.
In commodity markets, Brent crude eased 0.9% to
$93.40 a barrel, after pushing as high as $98.00 overnight,
while U.S. crude slipped 1.2% to $90.14 a barrel.
Gold was near flat at $4,331 an ounce, having touched
a two-month trough at $4,268.39 on Monday.