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Euro slides, French bond futures dip on political
uncertainty
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Chinese stocks boosted by robust manufacturing surveys
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Trump buoys dollar with tariff threat on BRICS
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Japan bond yields hit 16-year high on BOJ rate hike bets
(Updates to Asian afternoon trade, adds European futures)
By Kevin Buckland
TOKYO, Dec 2 (Reuters) - Asian stocks advanced on Monday
buoyed by a rally in tech and China shares, while the dollar
firmed in a crucial week for the U.S. interest rate outlook,
with the euro sliding as traders grappled with political
uncertainty in France.
Incoming U.S. President Donald Trump provided the dollar
support by warning the BRICS emerging nations against trying to
replace the greenback with any other currency, heaping pressure
on emerging market currencies.
"There'll be two drivers of market volatility this month.
The first remains the impact of Trump, especially future fiscal
settings and, increasingly, looming trade wars," said Kyle
Rodda, senior financial markets analyst at Capital.com.
"The second is what the U.S. Federal Reserve does with
policy this month," Rodda said. "If the Fed delivers (a cut) and
provides sufficiently dovish guidance, it may green light some
sort of 'Santa Rally'."
The euro was struggling due to the risk of an imminent
collapse of the French government, with Prime Minister Michel
Barnier confronted with a Monday deadline to make more budget
concessions or face a no confidence vote.
The single currency slumped 0.53% to $1.0520
earlier in the day after touching a one-week high of $1.0597 on
Friday. French bond futures fell 0.25% and stocks in
Europe were poised for a much lower open, futures
indicated.
If the Barnier government falls, broader downward pressure
on the euro would quickly re-assert itself, including against
the Swiss Franc, said Paul Mackel, global head of FX research at
HSBC.
The outlook for monetary policy in the region added to the
drag on the euro, with the European Central Bank seen cutting
rates this month. Markets ascribe a 27% chance it might even
ease by 50 basis points on Dec. 12.
The Federal Reserve is also in focus, with Friday's monthly
payrolls report set to inform policymakers' thinking about
whether to cut rates again on Dec. 18.
A number of Fed officials are due to speak this week,
including Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday. Traders
currently put the odds of a quarter-point reduction at about
66%.
That has left the dollar index, which measures the
currency against six major rivals, 0.24% higher at 106.28.
In Asia, Chinese shares got an additional boost from a
robust reading in a private manufacturing survey on Monday.
The survey results largely echoed an official survey on
Saturday, which showed manufacturing activity expanded modestly,
suggesting a blitz of stimulus is finally trickling through to
the world's second-largest economy.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng inched 0.16% higher, and
mainland Chinese blue chips added 0.6%.
In a holiday-shortened session on Friday, the S&P 500
and Nasdaq added 0.6% and 0.8% respectively to close at
all-time highs.
That provided the boost for tech shares in Asia, with Taiwan
stocks rising over 2% and South Korea's KOSPI gaining
0.38%. Japan's Nikkei rose 0.8%
Japanese government bond yields climbed to a 16-year high
after Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said in an interview
published at the weekend that another rate hike is "approaching
in the sense that economic data are on track."
However, Ueda also told the Nikkei that the central bank
wants to scrutinise developments in the U.S. economy as there
was a "big question mark" on its outlook, such as the fallout
from Trump's proposed tariff hikes.
The yield on two-year JGBs jumped 3 basis
points to 0.625%, the highest since November of 2008.
Market-implied odds of a quarter-point increase from the BOJ
this month stood at around 64%, with the steadily rising
expectations boosting the yen.
On Monday, the yen weakened 0.6% to 150.68 per
dollar but remained close to the six-week high of 149.47 it
touched on Friday.
In cryptocurrencies, ether hit a near six-month high
of $3,762.20 and was last up 2% at $3,674.44. Bitcoin was
last at $96,434, hovering close to the record high from Nov. 22
at $99,830.
Gold sank 1% to $2,627.71 under pressure from the
strong dollar, after sliding over 3% in November, its worst
monthly performance since September 2023.
Oil prices were lifted by the Chinese manufacturing data,
and as Israel resumed attacks on Lebanon despite a ceasefire
agreement.
Brent crude futures climbed 39 cents to $72.23 a
barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was at
$68.37 a barrel, up 37 cents.