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Asia shares upbeat; eyes on earnings from tech giants
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Microsoft ( MSFT ), Alphabet, Meta report after the bell
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25bp Fed cut baked in, focus on end of QT
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Yen strengthens after Bessent urges Tokyo to give BOJ
scope to
raise rates
By Rae Wee
SINGAPORE, Oct 29 (Reuters) - Asian shares got a lift
from Wall Street on Wednesday thanks to a fresh wave of optimism
over artificial intelligence, as investors braced for a busy day
headlined by the Federal Reserve's decision and earnings from
technology heavyweights.
The prospect of lower U.S. rates this week supported bonds,
while the dollar sustained losses as investors bet Wednesday's
expected Fed cut would not be the last for the year.
Overnight, Wall Street closed at record highs after upbeat
news from Nvidia ( NVDA ) and Microsoft ( MSFT ), with the
former announcing $500 billion in bookings for its AI chips and
that it would build seven supercomputers for the U.S. Department
of Energy.
Microsoft ( MSFT ) meanwhile reached a deal allowing OpenAI to
restructure into a public benefit corporation while giving the
software giant a stake of 27% in the ChatGPT maker.
That helped propel stocks in Asia higher, with MSCI's
broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
rising 0.16% while Japan's Nikkei jumped
more than 1% to hit another record.
South Korea's Kospi similarly scaled an all-time
high, helped by strong earnings and a bullish outlook from SK
Hynix, an Nvidia ( NVDA ) supplier.
The "Magnificent Seven" tech titans Microsoft ( MSFT ),
Alphabet and Meta are due to report earnings
later on Wednesday, where there are lofty expectations for them
to deliver strong results that would justify stretched
valuations.
"Expectations are sky-high, and the bar for disappointment
is high too," said Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at
Saxo.
"Investors want to see not just solid numbers but evidence
of sustained AI monetisation and broadening demand beyond the
initial boom. That's where the market will judge if this AI boom
is becoming a bubble or not."
Nasdaq futures were up 0.06% while S&P 500 futures
were little changed. EUROSTOXX 50 futures fell
0.14%.
BETTING ON A DOVISH FED
Also key for investors later in the day will be a highly
anticipated rate decision from the Fed, where a 25-basis-point
cut is almost fully priced in.
Alongside the rate move, markets will be watching whether
the central bank could halt its long-running effort to shrink
its balance sheet, known as quantitative tightening (QT).
"The end of QT, if announced, would be interpreted as a
dovish shift, especially if it comes with hints of maintaining
balance-sheet stability," said Saxo's Chanana.
The two-year Treasury yield held at 3.4904% while
the benchmark 10-year yield stood at 3.9814%, as
traders awaited further validation from the Fed on market
pricing for a December easing as well.
The Fed cut expectations in turn left the dollar weak on
Wednesday, with the euro and sterling firming at
$1.1652 and $1.3272, respectively.
The Aussie dollar rose 0.17% to $0.6598, after data
showed domestic inflation rose by the most in over two years in
the September quarter. A shockingly sharp jump in core inflation
seemed to rule out a near-term interest rate cut from the
Reserve Bank of Australia.
In Japan, the yen strengthened 0.3% to 151.66 per
dollar, after U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent escalated
his warning to Tokyo against keeping the yen too weak through
prolonged low borrowing costs.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) announces its policy decision on
Thursday, where expectations are for rates to be kept steady.
"We expect the BOJ to adopt a moderately hawkish hold,
signalling its intention to normalize policy in the coming
months and laying the groundwork for a possible rate hike,
likely in December or potentially January," said Gregor Hirt,
global CIO for multi asset at Allianz Global Investors.
"Governor (Kazuo) Ueda may provide some moderate push-back
to mitigate further currency weakening in the absence of
immediate policy action."
Elsewhere, oil prices rose, snapping three straight days of
declines as investors considered the impact of U.S. sanctions
against Russia's two biggest oil companies on global supply,
along with a potential OPEC+ plan to raise output.
Brent crude futures were up 0.28% to $64.58 a
barrel, while U.S. crude rose 0.18% to $60.26 per barrel.
The safe-haven gold traded just shy of $4,000 an
ounce, with a pick-up in risk appetite denting demand for the
asset and after its recent sharp fall squeezed leveraged money
out of a very crowded trade.