(Updates to Asia afternoon)
* Equities catch breath on Friday after recouping March
losses
* Dollar near six-week lows as demand for safe havens
fades
* US, Iran may meet at weekend; Strait of Hormuz remains
closed
By Ankur Banerjee
SINGAPORE, April 17 (Reuters) - Asian stocks headed for
a second week of strong gains on Friday while oil prices were
pinned below $100 a barrel with investors dialling back risk
ahead of a crucial weekend that could pave the way for a
near-term resolution to the Middle East war.
A 10-day ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel went into
effect on Thursday and President Donald Trump said the next
meeting between the U.S. and Iran may take place over the
weekend, when their current ceasefire is due to expire.
Investors have been quick to take an optimistic view on any
signs of denouement this month, even though the Strait of Hormuz
- through which a fifth of the world's oil and gas supply
typically flows - remains largely closed.
That optimism has kept oil prices below $100 per barrel
though they remain well above the pre-war levels. Brent crude
futures dropped more than 1% to $98.14 a barrel. U.S.
West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 1.4% to $93.37
a barrel.
In stocks, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside
Japan was down 0.83% as investors locked in
profits after a blistering rally this month.
The index remains close to its highest since March 2, the
first trading day after the Iran war broke out, and is up 14% in
April after dropping 13.5% last month. Almost all stock markets
are back to levels before the war erupted at the end of
February.
U.S. futures were flat in Asian hours while European
futures pointed to a subdued open.
For Andrew Chorlton, CIO for public fixed income at M&G, the
last two weeks have been surprising in how quickly markets have
been willing to look through the conflict and energy shock.
"There's quite a strong contrast between what policymakers
and central bankers are saying about the risks that this
(conflict) is creating versus what the market is implying," he
said.
"That seems somewhat complacent," Chorlton added. "It seems
unlikely that there shouldn't be some additional risk premium
priced in, either to growth or to inflation."
The U.S. dollar benefited from safe-haven flows in March, but
has since given up those gains. The euro last bought
$1.1782, just below the seven-week high it touched in the
previous session.
The U.S. benchmark S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq
rose modestly to record closing highs for a second
straight day on Thursday.
"I think equity markets are remaining positive and some
solid U.S. earnings have helped, but - and it's a big but - we
need to see some concrete evidence that peace is going to last,"
said Nick Twidale, chief market strategist at ATFX Global.
"And to me, that is a full reopening of the Strait, or we
could see some substantial corrections in global stocks in the
coming days and weeks."
Closure of the waterway has caused the worst oil price shock in
history, and spurred the International Monetary Fund to
downgrade its outlook for the global economy, warning that a
prolonged conflict could push the world to the brink of
recession.
The war has also clouded the outlook for European firms from
airlines to retailers, despite hopes for robust first-quarter
earnings. Higher energy prices, supply-chain disruption and
slower growth are already feeding into gloomy forecasts.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback
against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro,
was at 98.24, loitering near its lowest since March 2. The index
had declined for eight straight sessions through Wednesday.
The risk-sensitive Australian dollar fetched $0.7167,
drifting near the four-year high it touched on Thursday.
The yen was slightly weaker at 159.48 per dollar as
investors took stock of comments from Bank of Japan Governor
Kazuo Ueda, who steered clear of signalling a rate hike was on
the cards this month.
The remarks will keep traders guessing on the timing of the
next rate hike, with the lack of a clear signal leading markets
to reduce bets of a rate increase at the BOJ's April 27-28
policy meeting.