SINGAPORE, March 14 (Reuters) - Asian shares held near
seven-month highs on Thursday though traded mostly sideways as
investors awaited fresh catalysts that would provide further
clarity on the global interest rate easing cycle.
Japan's Nikkei was headed for a fourth successive
day of loss - its longest losing streak in about five months -
as a potential policy pivot from the Bank of Japan (BOJ) at its
meeting next week draws near.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
was last little changed and strayed not too far
from a seven-month peak hit in the previous session, as traders
shrugged off higher-than-expected U.S. inflation rate data.
Attention now turns to producer price data in the world's
largest economy due later on Thursday, which feeds into the core
personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index.
The core PCE index is the U.S. Federal Reserve's preferred
measure of inflation.
Retail sales figures for February are also due later in the
day and comes ahead of the Fed's policy meeting next week, where
focus will be on clues as to how soon policymakers could
commence their rate-easing cycle.
"Since the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) last met,
the U.S. inflation data have come in a bit stronger than
expected, while the labour market generally has remained
resilient," said economists at Wells Fargo in a client note.
"With payroll growth still solid and inflation proving to be
a bit stickier recently, we suspect the FOMC will still be
seeking greater confidence at the end of its meeting next week
that inflation is headed back to 2% on a durable basis."
Still, the run of better-than-expected U.S. economic data
has done little to alter the trajectory of the dollar,
which was broadly weaker on the day as traders remained focused
on the prospect of lower U.S. rates by the end of the year.
The euro hovered near its recent two-month high
and last bought $1.0949, while the Australian and New
Zealand dollars rose 0.12% and 0.26% respectively,
buoyed by gains in commodity prices.
In China, the blue-chip CSI300 Index rose 0.46%,
while the Shanghai Composite Index edged 0.25% higher,
both reversing some of the loss of the previous session and
shrugging off news that a Washington-based global trade
association representing biotechnology companies is taking steps
to "separate" from Chinese member Wuxi AppTec.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell 0.1%, dragged by
technology stocks which slid 0.9%.
Country Garden Holdings ( CTRYF ) was last up 1.7%, after
tumbling nearly 5% in the previous session after the Chinese
developer said funds for a 96 million yuan ($13.35 million)
coupon payment due Tuesday were not fully in place.
RIPE FOR CHANGE
In Japan, swirling speculation that the BOJ could end
negative interest rates as soon as next week kept the yen and
domestic yields supported.
The currency rose marginally to 147.71 per U.S.
dollar on Thursday while the 10-year Japanese government bond
(JGB) yield was up 2.5 basis points at 0.78%.
The Nikkei was meanwhile kept under pressure and
eased 0.2%.
Investors have been increasingly pricing in the chance of a
March policy shift, particularly after news of bumper pay rises
from some of Japan's biggest names at this year's annual wage
negotiations.
A preliminary survey on big firms' wage talks is due on
Friday. BOJ policymakers have said the talks are key to
determining the timing of the central bank's stimulus exit.
"I think an earlier decision to scrap NIRP (negative
interest rate policy) in March will suggest that the BOJ's
confidence in achieving its 2% inflation target is much
stronger, so I think that could have some impact on market
expectations for the pace of rate hikes beyond the first
decision to scrap NIRP," said Yujiro Goto, head of FX strategy
for Japan at Nomura.
"I think it's more important if the rate hike expectations
into next year increase or not, after the decision to scrap
NIRP. That's (potentially) more important on financial markets.
A timing for a second rate hike could be more important for the
JGB and yen market."
In commodities, Brent rose eight cents to $84.11 a
barrel, while U.S. crude gained seven cents to $79.79 per
barrel.
Spot gold was little changed at $2,174.69 an ounce.
($1 = 7.1915 Chinese yuan renminbi)