* Ceasefire strained as Iran claims Strait of Hormuz
closed
* Oil prices bounce modestly after Wednesday's steep
slide
* Nikkei goes flat, S&P 500 futures dip
* Dollar steadies, awaiting US core price data
By Wayne Cole
SYDNEY, April 9 (Reuters) - Asian share markets were in
a more sober mood on Thursday as cracks quickly began to appear
in the fragile Gulf ceasefire, nudging oil prices back up and
reminding investors the inflationary fallout will last for a
long time yet.
There was scant sign that the Strait of Hormuz was open in
any meaningful way, with Iran flexing its control over the
vital oil artery and demanding tolls for safe passage.
"You have a fifth of the world's oil supply moving through
a corridor that is still effectively under the influence of one
of the parties to the conflict," said Nigel Green, CEO at deVere
Group. "That's not stability."
"You don't need a full blockade to move oil markets sharply
higher again," he added. "Missiles are still being launched in
the Gulf, Israel is still engaged on another front, and yet
markets are behaving as though the region has normalised."
As a result prices for U.S. crude futures edged up
2.8% to $96.99 a barrel, while Brent rose 2.1% to
$96.74.
Japan's Nikkei dithered either side of flat, after
jumping 5.4% the previous session. South Korea dipped
0.4%, following a leap of 6.8%. MSCI's broadest index of
Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan eased 0.3%.
On Wall Street, S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures
were both off 0.2% as Wednesday's surge petered out.
For a mixed Europe, EUROSTOXX 50 futures inched up
0.1%, DAX futures fell 0.3% and FTSE futures
rose 0.5%.
INFLATION IS INEVITABLE
With oil prices still around 40% higher than pre-conflict,
an inflationary spike is about to show up in the hard data
across the globe.
Figures on U.S. core prices for February due later Thursday
are expected to show a chunky 0.4% rise for a second month, and
that was before the surge in energy costs.
Minutes from the Federal Reserve's last policy meeting
showed a growing number of members felt a rate hike might be
needed to contain inflation, though many hoped the next move
would still be a cut.
That tempered a rally in Treasuries, which proved modest
compared to the big gains seen in European debt markets. Yields
on U.S. 10-year notes sat at 4.29%, compared to
3.96% before the attack on Iran.
Fed fund futures imply only 7 basis points of easing
for the rest of this year, having given up on 50 basis points of
cuts since the end of February.
"The committee broadly agreed that it was too early to act,
suggesting the Fed will likely remain on hold this year, in line
with our view," said analysts at JPMorgan in a note.
They also saw risks shifting to just one rate hike from the
European Central Bank this year, rather than two.
The shifting outlook for rates saw the dollar pare some of
its knee-jerk losses, with the euro flat at $1.1660
and off a top of $1.1721.
The dollar steadied at 158.60 yen, having fallen
as far as 157.89 at one stage on Wednesday.
In commodity markets, gold was flat at $4,718 an ounce
, after bouncing as high as $4,777 overnight.
(Editing by Sam Holmes)