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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia stocks turn cautious as reality intrudes in Gulf
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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia stocks turn cautious as reality intrudes in Gulf
Apr 8, 2026 6:02 PM

* Ceasefire strained as Iran claims Strait of Hormuz

closed

* Oil prices bounce modestly after Wednesday's steep

slide

* Nikkei goes flat, S&P 500 futures dip

* Dollar steadies, awaiting US core price data

By Wayne Cole

SYDNEY, April 9 (Reuters) - Asian share markets were in

a more sober mood on Thursday as cracks quickly began to appear

in the fragile Gulf ceasefire, nudging oil prices back up and

reminding investors the inflationary fallout will last for a

long time yet.

There was scant sign that the Strait of Hormuz was open in

any meaningful way, with Iran flexing its control over the

vital oil artery and demanding tolls for safe passage.

"You have a fifth of the world's oil supply moving through

a corridor that is still effectively under the influence of one

of the parties to the conflict," said Nigel Green, CEO at deVere

Group. "That's not stability."

"You don't need a full blockade to move oil markets sharply

higher again," he added. "Missiles are still being launched in

the Gulf, Israel is still engaged on another front, and yet

markets are behaving as though the region has normalised."

As a result prices for U.S. crude futures edged up

2.8% to $96.99 a barrel, while Brent rose 2.1% to

$96.74.

Japan's Nikkei dithered either side of flat, after

jumping 5.4% the previous session. South Korea dipped

0.4%, following a leap of 6.8%. MSCI's broadest index of

Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan eased 0.3%.

On Wall Street, S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures

were both off 0.2% as Wednesday's surge petered out.

For a mixed Europe, EUROSTOXX 50 futures inched up

0.1%, DAX futures fell 0.3% and FTSE futures

rose 0.5%.

INFLATION IS INEVITABLE

With oil prices still around 40% higher than pre-conflict,

an inflationary spike is about to show up in the hard data

across the globe.

Figures on U.S. core prices for February due later Thursday

are expected to show a chunky 0.4% rise for a second month, and

that was before the surge in energy costs.

Minutes from the Federal Reserve's last policy meeting

showed a growing number of members felt a rate hike might be

needed to contain inflation, though many hoped the next move

would still be a cut.

That tempered a rally in Treasuries, which proved modest

compared to the big gains seen in European debt markets. Yields

on U.S. 10-year notes sat at 4.29%, compared to

3.96% before the attack on Iran.

Fed fund futures imply only 7 basis points of easing

for the rest of this year, having given up on 50 basis points of

cuts since the end of February.

"The committee broadly agreed that it was too early to act,

suggesting the Fed will likely remain on hold this year, in line

with our view," said analysts at JPMorgan in a note.

They also saw risks shifting to just one rate hike from the

European Central Bank this year, rather than two.

The shifting outlook for rates saw the dollar pare some of

its knee-jerk losses, with the euro flat at $1.1660

and off a top of $1.1721.

The dollar steadied at 158.60 yen, having fallen

as far as 157.89 at one stage on Wednesday.

In commodity markets, gold was flat at $4,718 an ounce

, after bouncing as high as $4,777 overnight.

(Editing by Sam Holmes)

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