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Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
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Wall St futures edge up, yields dip as Biden bows out
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Earnings season to test lofty tech valuations
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US inflation data seen reinforcing case for Sept rate cut
By Wayne Cole
SYDNEY, July 22 (Reuters) - Asian shares tread
cautiously on Monday ahead of a packed week of corporate
earnings that should test the sky-high valuations of tech
stocks, while investors hope a key reading in U.S. inflation
will narrow the odds on a September rate cut.
Investors seemed well-prepared for news U.S. President Joe
Biden had dropped out of the election race and endorsed Vice
President Kamala Harris for the Democratic ticket.
Online betting site PredictIT showed pricing for a victory
by Donald Trump had fallen 3 cents to 61 cents, while Harris
climbed 11 cents to 38 cents. California governor Gavin Newsom,
another possible Democratic challenger, trailed at 4 cents.
Markets took the news in their stride, with S&P 500 stock
futures edging up 0.3%, while Nasdaq futures added
0.5%. Futures for 10-year Treasuries rose 3 ticks, while
10-year bond yields dipped 2 basis points to 4.22%.
"As Trump's polling results have lifted, markets have
favoured positions that anticipate more trade barriers and
possibly higher inflation," ANZ analysts said.
"Some polls have Harris performing better than Biden against
Trump, and the Democrats will be hoping the next polls feature a
Harris-driven bump."
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
eased 0.2%, having shed 3% last week amid a
general risk-off mood. Japan's Nikkei lost 0.6%, and
South Korea's benchmark index was down 0.4%.
U.S. second-quarter earnings are poised to dominate the
week, with Tesla and Google-parent Alphabet
kicking off the season for the "Magnificent Seven" megacap group
of stocks.
Others reporting include General Electric ( GE ), General
Motors ( GM ), Ford and Lockheed Martin ( LMT ).
The tech sector is projected to increase year-over-year
earnings by 17%, while profit for the communication services
sector is seen rising about 22%.
Such gains would outpace the 11% estimated rise for the S&P
500 overall, according to LSEG IBES.
A busy week for economic news will culminate with the
Federal Reserve's favoured inflation measure out on Friday. The
core personal consumption expenditures index is seen rising 0.1%
in June, pulling the annual pace down a tick to 2.5%.
Markets are wagering heavily that a benign outcome will
underline the case for a September rate cut, which futures are
pricing as a 97% chance.
Also due are figures for advance gross domestic product that
are forecast to show growth picking up to an annualised 1.9% in
the second quarter, from 1.4% in the first.
The closely-watched Atlanta Fed GDPNow indicator points to
growth of 2.7%, suggesting some risk to the upside.
The Bank of Canada meets on Wednesday and is considered
almost certain to cut its rates by a quarter point to 4.5%.
China is expected to leave its one-year and five-year loan
prime rates unchanged later on Monday.
Beijing released a policy document on Sunday outlining known
ambitions, from developing advanced industries to improving the
business environment, but showed no sign of imminent structural
shifts in the world's second-biggest economy.
In currency markets, the dollar gave back a little of last
week's safe haven gains as the euro edged up 0.2% to $1.0900
. The dollar likewise dipped 0.2% on the Japanese yen
to 157.21.
In commodity markets, gold held at $2,410 an ounce
and not far from last week's record high of $2,483.60.
Oil prices inched higher, with little sign of progress on a
ceasefire deal in Gaza as Israeli forces battled Palestinian
fighters in the southern city of Rafah on Sunday.
Brent gained 39 cents to $83.02 a barrel, while U.S.
crude rose 42 cents to $80.55 per barrel.