(Updates prices as of 0445 GMT, adds additional analyst
comments)
By Kevin Buckland
TOKYO, Aug 8 (Reuters) -
Asian stock markets bounced between gains and losses on
Thursday, while the yen and U.S. bonds attempted to rebound, as
global investors struggled to find their footing in a wild week
for markets.
Japan's Nikkei share average swung from early losses
of as much as 2.5% and gains of 0.8% before trading 0.6% lower
as of 0445 GMT. That left the index down 2.8% for the week,
following Monday's 12.4% plunge, despite the ensuing two-day
rebound.
Tech shares were notable underperformers on the Nikkei,
following a 1.1% overnight slide for Wall Street's Nasdaq
Composite overnight.
Taiwan's tech-heavy stock benchmark sagged 1.5% and
South Korea's Kospi lost 0.9%.
However, gains for Hong Kong's Hang Seng, which
reversed earlier losses to rise 0.7%, and for mainland blue
chips helped to keep declines for MSCI's broadest index of
Asia-Pacific shares to 0.3%.
Nasdaq futures were volatile, last trading flat after
swinging between gains and losses.
Pan-European STOXX 50 futures sagged 1.1%.
"Today's Asia session could be important, as many had bought
the dip with the hope that we see real follow-through buying and
the upside momentum building," said Chris Weston, head of
research at Pepperstone.
"It's clear that we have not been given all clear just yet."
The yen generally benefits when market sentiment sours, and
was last up about 0.5% at 145.98 per dollar in a
volatile session that saw it up as much as 0.86% at one point
but also down 0.14%.
The Swiss franc, another traditional haven,
added 0.3% to 0/8592 per dollar.
The dollar-yen pair also tends to be sensitive to moves in
long-term U.S. Treasury yields, which retraced about
half of their overnight jump to 3.977% and last stood at 3.91%
in Asian hours.
The dollar index, which measures the currency against
the yen, franc, euro and three other major peers, was down 0.08%
at 103.03, while the euro gained by the same margin to
$1.0931.
Currencies, and the yen in particular, have been upended by
a shift last week toward bets for steady interest rate increases
by the Bank of Japan and aggressive cuts by the Federal Reserve,
which helped send the dollar as low as 141.675 yen on Monday for
the first time since the start of this year.
The move snowballed as some investors unwound yen carry
trades, with a ripple effect on Japanese stocks. While much of
that has run its course, traders are still struggling to find an
equilibrium level.
"Positioning is much cleaner across the board," said
Tony Sycamore, an analyst at IG.
"I know of very few funds, if any, that would allow
their traders to hold positions given the magnitude of the moves
we saw earlier in the week, particularly in the long 'Japan
Trade,' i.e. long Nikkei and short JPY."
BOJ officials have sent conflicting signals since
springing a surprise rate rise a week ago. Deputy Governor
Shinichi Uchida on Wednesday
played down
the chance of another near-term hike, but a summary of the
meeting released earlier Thursday revealed a
hawkish slant
among the board.
Meanwhile, weekly U.S. jobless claims data due later in the
day could prove market moving following soft monthly payrolls
figures on Friday that exacerbated fears of a U.S. economic
downturn.
Traders are currently pricing in 111 basis points of cuts to
the Fed funds rate over the remaining three meetings this year,
which many analysts see as overdone.
"During recent volatility episodes going back to the
banking crisis in March 2023, the promise or pricing of
aggressive Fed rate cuts has proven to be as effective as actual
rate cuts, via the loosening in financial conditions," said IG's
Sycamore.
"That's enabled the Fed to save its rate cut bullets."
Elsewhere, leading cryptocurrency bitcoin gained more
than 3% to $56,877.
Crude oil continued to rise following data the previous
day that showed a bigger-than-expected draw in U.S. crude
stockpiles.
Brent crude futures added 0.1% to $78.42 a barrel,
following Wednesday's 2.4% jump. U.S. West Texas Intermediate
crude gained 0.3% to $75.45, building on a 2.8% rally
from overnight.