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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia stocks wobble as tech drags, yen gains in volatile trade
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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia stocks wobble as tech drags, yen gains in volatile trade
Aug 7, 2024 11:07 PM

(Updates prices as of 0445 GMT, adds additional analyst

comments)

By Kevin Buckland

TOKYO, Aug 8 (Reuters) -

Asian stock markets bounced between gains and losses on

Thursday, while the yen and U.S. bonds attempted to rebound, as

global investors struggled to find their footing in a wild week

for markets.

Japan's Nikkei share average swung from early losses

of as much as 2.5% and gains of 0.8% before trading 0.6% lower

as of 0445 GMT. That left the index down 2.8% for the week,

following Monday's 12.4% plunge, despite the ensuing two-day

rebound.

Tech shares were notable underperformers on the Nikkei,

following a 1.1% overnight slide for Wall Street's Nasdaq

Composite overnight.

Taiwan's tech-heavy stock benchmark sagged 1.5% and

South Korea's Kospi lost 0.9%.

However, gains for Hong Kong's Hang Seng, which

reversed earlier losses to rise 0.7%, and for mainland blue

chips helped to keep declines for MSCI's broadest index of

Asia-Pacific shares to 0.3%.

Nasdaq futures were volatile, last trading flat after

swinging between gains and losses.

Pan-European STOXX 50 futures sagged 1.1%.

"Today's Asia session could be important, as many had bought

the dip with the hope that we see real follow-through buying and

the upside momentum building," said Chris Weston, head of

research at Pepperstone.

"It's clear that we have not been given all clear just yet."

The yen generally benefits when market sentiment sours, and

was last up about 0.5% at 145.98 per dollar in a

volatile session that saw it up as much as 0.86% at one point

but also down 0.14%.

The Swiss franc, another traditional haven,

added 0.3% to 0/8592 per dollar.

The dollar-yen pair also tends to be sensitive to moves in

long-term U.S. Treasury yields, which retraced about

half of their overnight jump to 3.977% and last stood at 3.91%

in Asian hours.

The dollar index, which measures the currency against

the yen, franc, euro and three other major peers, was down 0.08%

at 103.03, while the euro gained by the same margin to

$1.0931.

Currencies, and the yen in particular, have been upended by

a shift last week toward bets for steady interest rate increases

by the Bank of Japan and aggressive cuts by the Federal Reserve,

which helped send the dollar as low as 141.675 yen on Monday for

the first time since the start of this year.

The move snowballed as some investors unwound yen carry

trades, with a ripple effect on Japanese stocks. While much of

that has run its course, traders are still struggling to find an

equilibrium level.

"Positioning is much cleaner across the board," said

Tony Sycamore, an analyst at IG.

"I know of very few funds, if any, that would allow

their traders to hold positions given the magnitude of the moves

we saw earlier in the week, particularly in the long 'Japan

Trade,' i.e. long Nikkei and short JPY."

BOJ officials have sent conflicting signals since

springing a surprise rate rise a week ago. Deputy Governor

Shinichi Uchida on Wednesday

played down

the chance of another near-term hike, but a summary of the

meeting released earlier Thursday revealed a

hawkish slant

among the board.

Meanwhile, weekly U.S. jobless claims data due later in the

day could prove market moving following soft monthly payrolls

figures on Friday that exacerbated fears of a U.S. economic

downturn.

Traders are currently pricing in 111 basis points of cuts to

the Fed funds rate over the remaining three meetings this year,

which many analysts see as overdone.

"During recent volatility episodes going back to the

banking crisis in March 2023, the promise or pricing of

aggressive Fed rate cuts has proven to be as effective as actual

rate cuts, via the loosening in financial conditions," said IG's

Sycamore.

"That's enabled the Fed to save its rate cut bullets."

Elsewhere, leading cryptocurrency bitcoin gained more

than 3% to $56,877.

Crude oil continued to rise following data the previous

day that showed a bigger-than-expected draw in U.S. crude

stockpiles.

Brent crude futures added 0.1% to $78.42 a barrel,

following Wednesday's 2.4% jump. U.S. West Texas Intermediate

crude gained 0.3% to $75.45, building on a 2.8% rally

from overnight.

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