* Divided Fed stands pat on rates, long-end bonds slump
* Stocks stumble as worries on AI trade rattle markets
* Oil near $90/barrel amid Middle East hostilities
By Ankur Banerjee
SINGAPORE, July 30 (Reuters) - Asian stocks struggled for
direction on Thursday, nursing steep losses for the week on
mounting investor jitters around the AI trade, while a divided
Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady, leaving bond markets
questioning where rates are headed.
Brent futures slipped below $90 per barrel, after
jumping over 7% a day earlier as fighting in the Middle East
escalated, although data showed tankers continued to make their
way out of the region despite the continued missile and drone
strikes.
The dollar was on the defensive after the U.S. central bank
held steady although the split decision left investors confused
on whether the Fed will see through rate hikes to combat
inflation. Yields on longer-dated U.S. Treasuries rose to
19-year highs.
Asian chipmakers have been the centre of attention this week
after a deep selloff in South Korean stocks that wiped more than
$2 trillion from the country's equity market rocked markets and
investors freted about the returns from massive AI spending.
The KOSPI rose 4% in choppy trading on Thursday, but
is staring at a 12% weekly decline that prompted Finance
Minister Koo Yun-cheol to apologise for the introduction of
single-stock leveraged ETFs.
"Given that the fundamental thesis remains intact, there
does appear to be an irrational, panic-like element to the
current selling," said Gina Kim, portfolio manager for emerging
market equities at Nordea Asset Management in Singapore.
"I cannot comment on when the panic will stop as such but
some indicators to look out for would be margin balances in both
Taiwan and Korea for retail investors. Both are declining but we
would ideally need to see some levelling off," said Kim.
Chipmaker Samsung Electronics said its operating
profit jumped 19-fold to a record in the second quarter, helping
lift beaten-down investor sentiment.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
rose over 1% in early trading. Japan's Nikkei
was 2% higher, but set for a 3% drop in the week.
Earnings from U.S. megacaps Meta and Microsoft ( MSFT )
outlined the contrasting fortunes of the companies that
are able to showcase their ability to generate cash even as they
spend to build out AI infrastructure.
Microsoft ( MSFT ) said it expects to keep generating cash through
the fiscal year 2027 that just started, lifting its shares,
while Meta reported a 91% drop in second-quarter free cash flow,
sending its stock down.
Nasdaq futures rose 1.2% in Asian hours while
European futures were 0.3% higher.
FED LOOKING TO MARKETS FOR CUES
In a post-meeting media conference, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh
vowed to contain inflation but declined to offer any guidance on
what action would be needed by the central bank.
Warsh noted that bond yields since the Fed's last monetary
policy meeting had risen notably - investors have priced in
interest rate increases - and he welcomed that move, even while
saying it did not mean the central bank needed to ratify it with
action.
Yields on 30-year U.S. bonds were at 5.2039%,
having hit their highest since June 2007 at 5.2273% late in New
York trading.
"What we heard was a fairly defiant message about bringing
inflation back to target, albeit with very little substance on
exactly how that would be achieved," said Chris Weston, head of
research at Pepperstone.
Fed funds futures now implied around a 60% chance
the Fed would lift rates at its next meeting in September and
had 33 basis points of tightening priced in by year-end.
"The Fed is likely to face ongoing questions around its
credibility," said Kerry Craig, global market strategist at J.P.
Morgan Asset Management.
"The gap between the Fed's rhetoric and its actions may pose
a challenge for market pricing. A new chair faces a divided
committee and a bond market that's starting to question the
central bank's resolve."