SINGAPORE, Sept 26 (Reuters) - Asian stocks bucked the
global trend to extend a rally on Thursday, fuelled by
persistent optimism over China's aggressive stimulus package,
although there were signs some of that enthusiasm was starting
to ebb.
The sea of green across equities in Asia came even as Wall
Street closed lower overnight with global stock indexes giving
up their gains from earlier in the week.
"After such a strong run in the past few days, one could
argue the selling was largely driven by profit-taking, while
others will suggest that it symbolises a belief that the PBOC's
policy stimulus is in no way a game changer and will fail to
lift consumption in any capacity," said Chris Weston, head of
research at Pepperstone.
Still, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside
Japan rose more than 1% to an over two-year high
on Thursday. Japan's Nikkei surged 2.4%.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index similarly advanced 1.5%,
while the mainland CSI300 blue-chip index reversed
early losses to last trade 0.3% higher.
Also aiding sentiment, Bloomberg News reported on Thursday
that China is considering injecting up to 1 trillion yuan
($142.39 billion) of capital into its biggest state banks to
increase their capacity to support the struggling economy.
In the broader market, investors turned their attention to a
raft of speeches from Federal Reserve policymakers later in the
day, including remarks from Chair Jerome Powell, which could
provide further clues on the U.S. rate outlook.
The release of the core personal consumption expenditures
(PCE) price index - the Fed's preferred measure of inflation -
is also due on Friday.
"I don't think the reaction will be excessive, but the
direction will be there," said Jeff Ng, head of Asia macro
strategy at SMBC, referring to Friday's data release. "If let's
say prices are sticky, then maybe that will slightly dampen
expectations for a 50-basis-point (rate cut)."
Markets are now pricing in a roughly 62% chance of a 50bp
cut at the Fed's November policy meeting and see a total of
77bps worth of cuts by the year end.
Shifting expectations of how aggressive the Fed would ease
rates this year and next have in turn kept the dollar largely
rangebound over the past month.
It was back on the front foot on Thursday, having fallen
earlier in the week as China's slew of support measures boosted
risk appetite and sent traders scooping up China-linked assets
such as the Australian and New Zealand dollars.
Analysts said the greenback also drew additional support
from month-end flows.
The Aussie was last 0.18% higher at $0.6835, while
the kiwi eased 0.06% to $0.6257.
Against the dollar, the euro and sterling
retreated from their recent peaks to last trade at $1.1137 and
$1.3324, respectively.
The offshore yuan ticked up 0.06% to 7.0277 per
dollar, having briefly strengthened past the key psychological
level of 7 per dollar in the previous session.
"While rate cuts should weigh on the RMB, this may be offset
by equity inflows," said DBS analysts in a note.
"Still, China's economic outlook remains fragile, and
sustained RMB gains are acceptable only if regional currencies
continue their appreciation against the USD."
In commodities, oil prices edged up with Brent crude futures
last 0.27% higher at $73.66 a barrel. U.S. crude
rose 0.2% to $69.82 per barrel.
Spot gold was steady at $2,659.56 an ounce, having
scaled a record high on Wednesday.
(Editing by Sam Holmes)