* Brent extends gains as Trump threatens 20% fee on cargo
shipping
* Asian stocks volatile, Taiwan shares fall to one-month low
* Hawkish comments from Fed's Waller lift odds of July rate
hike
(Updates market movements, adds quote in paragraph 4, GPIF in
paragraph 15)
By Gregor Stuart Hunter
SINGAPORE, July 14 (Reuters) - Stocks yoyoed between gains
and losses and oil hit a one-month high in Asian trading on
Tuesday after President Donald Trump said the U.S. was
reinstating its blockade of Iranian shipping and would collect a
20% fee on cargo traversing the Strait of Hormuz.
Following a volatile session, MSCI's broadest index of
Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was up 0.2%,
as a rebound for South Korean shares offset declines in
Taiwan. S&P 500 e-mini futures nudged 0.1%
higher.
Chinese stocks led the rally, with the CSI 300 up 2%
after export and import data for June released on Tuesday
surpassed economists' expectations.
"China's exports and imports surged to the highest levels
since the pandemic-skewed 2021, as the tech boom supports growth
on both fronts," ING analysts wrote in a research note. "Exports
have been one of China's primary growth engines in recent years,
and this year's acceleration continues to beat expectations."
Brent crude futures climbed 2.6% to $85.49 a barrel,
after earlier hitting their highest since mid-June at $85.64.
Markets were also rattled by hawkish comments on Monday from
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, who said the U.S.
central bank may need to raise interest rates "in the near term"
if data shows inflation continuing well above the 2% target.
U.S. CPI data is due for release later on Tuesday, followed
by comments from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, who will deliver the
central bank's semi-annual monetary policy report to Congress.
"While the risk had been building in the system over the
past week, markets reacted aggressively" to the latest headlines
from the Iran conflict, said Chris Weston, head of research at
Pepperstone in Melbourne.
"The prospect of tighter monetary policy into a potential
energy shock is rarely supportive for risk assets."
Overnight, stocks on Wall Street sold off and oil futures surged
more than 9% as the conflict between the U.S. and Iran
re-ignited, once again throttling the flow of goods through the
Strait of Hormuz. The S&P 500 closed 0.8% lower and the
Nasdaq Composite fell 1.6%.
Fed funds futures are pricing in an implied 43.3%
probability of a 25-basis-point hike at the U.S. central bank's
next two-day meeting on July 28 to 29, compared to a 34.2%
chance on Friday, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool.
The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond was up 0.8 basis
point at 4.6156%.
The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback's
strength against a basket of six currencies, nudged 0.1% lower
to 101.18, trading around its highest levels of the month. Gold
was up 0.8% at $4,031.60.
"The risk to Asian markets from the re-escalation in
U.S.-Iran tensions runs mainly through the impact of higher
energy prices on currencies and policy interest rates," said
Eastspring Investments' chief investment officer Vis Nayar in a
note. "Persistently higher oil prices would increase the risk
that the U.S. Federal Reserve would hike the Fed funds rate
later this year."
In Tokyo, the Nikkei 225 rose 0.8% after Finance
Minister Satsuki Katayama said Japan may consider adjusting the
strategy of the giant Government Pension Investment Fund if the
investment environment changed sharply. However, she gave few
further details.
In Taipei, the Taiwanese benchmark fell to a one-month low,
leading regional declines even as other markets recovered.
Market bellwether TSMC is scheduled to report earnings
on Thursday, with a fifth consecutive quarter of record profits
expected.
In Seoul, stocks moved between negative and positive territory
as shares in SK Hynix ( SKHY ) veered between gains and
losses, rising as much as 4.9% after an earlier selloff. The
volatility for the memory chipmaker comes after a dramatic
plunge a day earlier following its Nasdaq debut last week.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin was 0.8% higher at
$62,633.95 while ether was up 1.1% at $1,784.53.