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Asia stocks hover near highest since February 2021
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Dollar firms after hawkish tilt from some Fed policymakers
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Earnings focus now to be on tech firms
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Japan closes for holiday, trading in Asia likely to be
muted
(Updates to Asia afternoon)
By Ankur Banerjee
SINGAPORE, Nov 3 (Reuters) - Asian stocks rose on Monday
as the U.S.-China trade truce and surging investment in
artificial intelligence buoyed risk sentiment, while the dollar
firmed to a three-month high on easing rate cut wagers after
hawkish comments from policymakers.
Investors are still focused on developments from last week,
including central bank meetings and the U.S.-China agreement on
a year-long trade truce that was within broad expectations. But
doubts remain if the truce will last for the full duration.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
was up 0.63% at 729.82, hovering near the
4-1/2-year high it touched last week. The index is up more than
27% this year, on course for its best year since 2017.
Nasdaq futures rose 0.25%, while European futures
also pointed to a higher open ahead of manufacturing
data from the region.
In Asia, data showed big manufacturing hubs struggled to
fire up in October as weak U.S. demand and tariffs under
President Donald Trump hit factory orders across the region.
Japan markets were closed for a holiday on Monday.
South Korea's Kospi surged more than 2% to yet
another record peak. China's blue-chip stocks were
0.1% higher and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose 1%.
"We advise investors to lock in some gains on the rises and
accumulate on the corrections, and rotate into more defensive
positioning toward year end," said BofA strategists, noting that
optimism tied to the U.S.-China trade truce has been priced in.
HAWKISH FEDSPEAK
A clutch of Federal Reserve bank presidents on Friday aired
their discomfort with the U.S. central bank's decision to cut
interest rates, even as influential Fed Governor Christopher
Waller made the case for more policy easing to shore up a
weakening labour market.
Following the October monetary policy meeting last week, Fed
Chair Jerome Powell said an interest rate cut at the next
meeting in December was "not a foregone conclusion". Investors
had expected that move to be almost a done deal.
"We continue to think that the motivation for the rate cuts
is consistent with our premise for further dollar downside: the
U.S. economy will not outperform to the same degree as it did
before," Goldman Sachs strategists said in a note.
"That will lead to a weaker dollar over time given its
strong starting point."
Traders are now pricing a 68% chance of a rate cut in
December, down from a near certainty last week before the Fed
meeting, where the central bank lowered rates by 25 basis points
as expected.
That has left the dollar firmer. The euro last bought
$1.1524 at a three-month low. Sterling eased 0.2% to
$1.3142, while the yen was at 154.05 per U.S. dollar,
near its lowest since mid-February.
With the U.S. government shutdown set to extend this week,
there will be no data for job openings as well as non-farm
payrolls. The spotlight instead will be on a private employment
report from ADP later this week.
The U.S. shutdown, which started on October 1, is now the
second-longest ever behind the 2018-2019 shutdown that lasted 35
days.
EARNINGS SEASON IN FOCUS
After a mixed bag of earnings from the megacap companies
that showed investors were keen to see a return on the extensive
capital spending on AI infrastructure, focus will be on tech
firms reporting this week.
Enthusiasm over AI has helped drive global stock markets,
but investors are wary of potential overexuberance tied to the
theme and eager for evidence that AI investments are paying off.
Semiconductor firms Advanced Micro Devices ( AMD ), Qualcomm ( QCOM )
and data analytics company Palantir Technologies ( PLTR )
are due to report. Other companies set to report this
week include McDonald's and Uber ( UBER ).
In commodities, gold was back above $4,000 as traders
bought the dip.
Brent crude futures rose 0.32% to $64.98 a barrel,
while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was at $61.16 a
barrel, up 0.28%, after OPEC+ decided to hold off hiking
production in the first quarter of next year.