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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian stocks hesitant after Trump's visa crackdown
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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian stocks hesitant after Trump's visa crackdown
Sep 21, 2025 7:12 PM

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India markets in spotlight after Trump's visa executive

order

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Dollar steady as traders look for monetary policy cues

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BOJ hawkish hold keeps rate hike chances alive

By Ankur Banerjee

SINGAPORE, Sept 22 (Reuters) - Asian stocks inched up

and the dollar was steady on Monday as traders pondered the U.S.

monetary policy path after the Federal Reserve's rate cut last

week, while President Donald Trump's immigration crackdown on

worker visas kept sentiment in check.

The focus will be on Indian and tech stocks after the Trump

administration said on Friday it would ask companies to pay

$100,000 per year for new H-1B worker visas, a blow to the tech

sector that relies on skilled workers from India and China.

U.S. stock futures eased in early trading with the S&P

futures down 0.1%. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific

shares outside Japan was 0.09% higher. Tokyo's

Nikkei rose 1% after dropping on Friday.

India's $283 billion information technology sector, which

gets more than half of its revenue from the U.S., will likely

feel the pain in the near term amid souring ties between India

and the United States.

Trump last month doubled tariffs on imports from India to as

much as 50%, partly due to New Delhi's purchases of Russian oil.

"It's a risk to operating costs and margins first of all.

Obviously it could raise wages and labour costs a bit," said

Kyle Rodda, senior financial analyst at Capital.com

"Tech companies may also find themselves in a bind where

they confront punitive measures if they look to offshore labour

because they can't find enough workers in the U.S."

On the macroeconomic front, investors remain keen to gauge

the U.S. monetary policy path after the Fed cut interest rates

last week but indicated a gradual easing phase in the future.

A host of policymakers are expected to speak in the week,

while data on the Fed's preferred gauge of inflation is due on

Friday that will help set the tone for the near-term rate

outlook.

The expectation is for the core PCE price index to rise by

0.2% on a monthly basis, which would keep the annual rate steady

at 2.9%, the same as in July, and above the 2.6% low it reached

in April, according to Tony Sycamore, market analyst at IG.

Traders are pricing in 44 basis points of easing by the end

of the year.

That has left the dollar on an upward trajectory for the

time being. The dollar index, which measures the U.S.

currency against six other units, was at 97.716.

"The trajectory of the USD is less clear-cut, and where the

greenback trades in the near-term is the subject of increased

debate, and one needs to be open-minded to the idea that the

positive USD price action seen late last week could build," said

Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone.

"With a deluge of Treasury supply coming to market this week

and a big lineup of scheduled Fed speakers, Treasury yields

could drive the USD flows."

The Japanese yen was slightly weaker at 148.20 per

U.S. dollar after strengthening on Friday following the Bank of

Japan's hawkish hold where two board members voted against

keeping interest rates steady.

While the central bank kept short-term interest rates at

0.5%, board members Hajime Takata and Naoki Tamura proposed,

unsuccessfully, a hike to 0.75% in a move markets saw as a

prelude to a near-term increase in borrowing costs.

Vasu Menon, managing director of investment strategy at OCBC

Bank, said Friday's decision will be taken by markets as a

signal that the Japanese central bank is gradually turning

hawkish.

It heightens "expectations of future rate increases and the

potential for higher JGB yields and a stronger yen, which may

not be the best piece of news for Japanese equities and bonds in

the short term," he said.

In commodities, oil prices inched higher in early trading,

with Brent crude futures 0.3% higher at $66.89 a barrel.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures rose 0.35% to $62.9.

Gold prices climbed 0.24% to $3,692.79 per ounce, just shy

of the record high touched last week.

(Editing by Shri Navaratnam)

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